Diageo Valuation

Is DEO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DEO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DEO ($120.09) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($183.42)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DEO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DEO?

Key metric: As DEO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DEO. This is calculated by dividing DEO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DEO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.3x
EarningsUS$3.87b
Market CapUS$66.78b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DEO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DEO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average39.1x
STZ Constellation Brands
75.1x31.8%US$43.5b
BF.B Brown-Forman
19.8x3.4%US$19.5b
NAPA Duckhorn Portfolio
28.9x28.1%US$1.6b
MNST Monster Beverage
32.8x11.5%US$52.6b
DEO Diageo
17.3x3.9%US$53.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DEO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.3x) compared to the peer average (39.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DEO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DEO 17.3xIndustry Avg. 17.7xNo. of Companies4PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DEO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.3x) compared to the Global Beverage industry average (17.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DEO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DEO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.3x
Fair PE Ratio23.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DEO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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