Stock Analysis

Will Conagra Brands' (CAG) Earnings Beat Amid Inflation Shift Its Growth Outlook?

  • Conagra Brands recently reported its fiscal Q1 2026 results, surpassing analyst expectations for both earnings per share and revenue despite a year-over-year revenue decline of 5.81%.
  • Management emphasized the continued impact of inflation and cautious consumer behavior, while reiterating the company's commitment to disciplined execution and balanced capital allocation.
  • We'll explore how Conagra's outperformance amid inflationary pressures shapes the outlook for its future earnings and revenue growth.

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Conagra Brands Investment Narrative Recap

To be a shareholder in Conagra Brands, you need to believe in its ability to deliver steady earnings growth and maintain value for investors, even as the packaged foods sector faces margin pressures and shifts in consumer habits. The latest quarterly report, with Conagra surpassing analyst expectations despite declining sales, did little to alter the company's near-term focus, cost efficiency and prudent capital management remain the main catalysts, while inflation and pressured consumer demand are still the underlying risks.

Among recent announcements, Conagra’s board once again approved a quarterly dividend of US$0.35 per share, scheduled for November 26, 2025. This decision highlights management’s firm stance on returning capital to shareholders, and reinforces the role of reliable dividends as a potential buffer for investors against short-term earnings volatility and market uncertainty.

However, investors should also keep in mind that, despite solid execution, persistent inflation poses a challenge to net margin improvement and...

Read the full narrative on Conagra Brands (it's free!)

Conagra Brands' outlook anticipates $11.4 billion in revenue and $905.9 million in earnings by 2028. This reflects a -0.5% annual revenue decline and a $294 million decrease in earnings from the current $1.2 billion.

Uncover how Conagra Brands' forecasts yield a $20.58 fair value, a 14% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

CAG Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
CAG Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

Fair value estimates from nine Simply Wall St Community members span US$17 to US$78.13, reflecting a wide spread of investor opinion. While outlooks differ, persistent inflation remains a concern that could weigh on profitability moving forward, so it pays to review several perspectives.

Explore 9 other fair value estimates on Conagra Brands - why the stock might be worth over 4x more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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