Stock Analysis

22nd Century Group (NASDAQ:XXII investor five-year losses grow to 74% as the stock sheds US$18m this past week

NasdaqCM:XXII
Source: Shutterstock

We're definitely into long term investing, but some companies are simply bad investments over any time frame. It hits us in the gut when we see fellow investors suffer a loss. Anyone who held 22nd Century Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:XXII) for five years would be nursing their metaphorical wounds since the share price dropped 74% in that time. And some of the more recent buyers are probably worried, too, with the stock falling 72% in the last year. Furthermore, it's down 38% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders.

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

See our latest analysis for 22nd Century Group

SWOT Analysis for 22nd Century Group

Strength
  • Debt is well covered by earnings.
Weakness
  • Shareholders have been diluted in the past year.
Opportunity
  • Forecast to reduce losses next year.
  • Trading below our estimate of fair value by more than 20%.
Threat
  • Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow.
  • Has less than 3 years of cash runway based on current free cash flow.

22nd Century Group wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one does expect good top-line growth.

In the last half decade, 22nd Century Group saw its revenue increase by 16% per year. That's better than most loss-making companies. So it's not at all clear to us why the share price sunk 12% throughout that time. It could be that the stock was over-hyped before. While there might be an opportunity here, you'd want to take a close look at the balance sheet strength.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqCM:XXII Earnings and Revenue Growth April 13th 2023

If you are thinking of buying or selling 22nd Century Group stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that 22nd Century Group shareholders are down 72% for the year. Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 8.8%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 12% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that 22nd Century Group is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...

We will like 22nd Century Group better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqCM:XXII

22nd Century Group

A tobacco products company, engages in the sale and distribution of its own proprietary new reduced nicotine tobacco products.

Adequate balance sheet slight.

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