Stock Analysis

Vital Farms, Inc. (NASDAQ:VITL) Stocks Shoot Up 27% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable

NasdaqGM:VITL
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Vital Farms, Inc. (NASDAQ:VITL) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 27% share price jump in the last month. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 19% is also fairly reasonable.

Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Vital Farms is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1.7x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Food industry have P/S ratios below 0.8x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Vital Farms

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:VITL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 6th 2024

How Has Vital Farms Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Vital Farms has been doing relatively well. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Keen to find out how analysts think Vital Farms' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Vital Farms' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 36% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 121% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 14% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 2.9% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Vital Farms' P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Vital Farms' P/S?

The large bounce in Vital Farms' shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Vital Farms' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Vital Farms that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Vital Farms, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Vital Farms is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.