Stock Analysis

Take Care Before Diving Into The Deep End On Village Farms International, Inc. (NASDAQ:VFF)

NasdaqCM:VFF
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When close to half the companies operating in the Food industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 0.8x, you may consider Village Farms International, Inc. (NASDAQ:VFF) as an attractive investment with its 0.3x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Village Farms International

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:VFF Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 29th 2023

How Village Farms International Has Been Performing

Village Farms International hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Village Farms International will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

Village Farms International's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 5.4%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 80% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 11% per year during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 3.1% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it odd that Village Farms International is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What Does Village Farms International's P/S Mean For Investors?

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

To us, it seems Village Farms International currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Having said that, be aware Village Farms International is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.