Stock Analysis

Will New $150M Loan and Debt Extension Shift Simply Good Foods' (SMPL) Growth Trajectory?

  • On November 19, 2025, Simply Good Foods USA Inc., a subsidiary of The Simply Good Foods Company, amended its credit agreement to establish a US$150,000,000 incremental term loan facility and extend the maturity dates of its revolving and term loan facilities.
  • This financial maneuver is intended to provide greater flexibility for working capital, growth investments, and potential share repurchases, underscoring the company’s response to ongoing operational challenges and market changes.
  • We'll explore how the added credit facility and extended debt maturities could reshape Simply Good Foods' investment outlook and growth plans.

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Simply Good Foods Investment Narrative Recap

To be a shareholder in Simply Good Foods, you need confidence in its ability to revitalize key brands, particularly Quest and OWYN, to drive growth despite near-term headwinds in Atkins and margin pressures. The recent US$150,000,000 credit facility amendment provides added financial flexibility, but it does not directly address the most immediate catalyst of growing Quest's salty snack business or the biggest risk from Atkins declines, so its impact in the short term is likely minimal.

Among recent developments, the increase in the share buyback authorization by US$150,000,000 to a total of US$300,000,000 stands out. This move reinforces Simply Good Foods' ongoing efforts to return capital to shareholders, particularly as it pairs with expanded credit capacity that could potentially support further buybacks, though shifts in earnings are likely to remain the more powerful near-term share price catalyst.

On the flip side, investors should be aware of ongoing margin pressures from cost inflation and input prices that could...

Read the full narrative on Simply Good Foods (it's free!)

Simply Good Foods' outlook anticipates $1.6 billion in revenue and $204.1 million in earnings by 2028. This projection is based on a 4.1% annual revenue growth rate and reflects a $58.8 million increase in earnings from the current $145.3 million figure.

Uncover how Simply Good Foods' forecasts yield a $29.70 fair value, a 50% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

SMPL Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
SMPL Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

Community estimates for Simply Good Foods’ fair value range from US$29.70 to US$57.56, compiled from 3 perspectives in the Simply Wall St Community. While many see significant upside, persistent margin pressures from cost inflation mean your outlook on future profitability could differ sharply from others, compare your views with the wider community.

Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Simply Good Foods - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!

Build Your Own Simply Good Foods Narrative

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About NasdaqCM:SMPL

Simply Good Foods

A consumer-packaged food and beverage company, engages in the development, marketing, and sale of snacks and meal replacements, and other products in North America and internationally.

Undervalued with excellent balance sheet.

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