Stock Analysis

Investors Give S&W Seed Company (NASDAQ:SANW) Shares A 33% Hiding

NasdaqCM:SANW
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, S&W Seed Company (NASDAQ:SANW) shares are down a considerable 33% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 76% share price decline.

Since its price has dipped substantially, S&W Seed may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, since almost half of all companies in the Food industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1x and even P/S higher than 3x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for S&W Seed

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:SANW Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 8th 2024

How Has S&W Seed Performed Recently?

S&W Seed could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on S&W Seed will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For S&W Seed?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, S&W Seed would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 2.5% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 21% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 13% during the coming year according to the lone analyst following the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 2.3%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's peculiar that S&W Seed's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From S&W Seed's P/S?

S&W Seed's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

To us, it seems S&W Seed currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for S&W Seed (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.