Stock Analysis

PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To $1.26

NasdaqGS:PEP
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The board of PepsiCo, Inc. (NASDAQ:PEP) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of $1.26 on the 29th of September, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. The payment will take the dividend yield to 2.8%, which is in line with the average for the industry.

Check out our latest analysis for PepsiCo

PepsiCo's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

While it is always good to see a solid dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is feasible. At the time of the last dividend payment, PepsiCo was paying out a very large proportion of what it was earning and 122% of cash flows. Paying out such a high proportion of cash flows can expose the business to needing to cut the dividend if the business runs into some challenges.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 54.0%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 59%, which would make us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend, despite the levels currently being quite high.

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NasdaqGS:PEP Historic Dividend August 28th 2023

PepsiCo Has A Solid Track Record

The company has been paying a dividend for a long time, and it has been quite stable which gives us confidence in the future dividend potential. The annual payment during the last 10 years was $2.15 in 2013, and the most recent fiscal year payment was $5.06. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 8.9% over that duration. Dividends have grown at a reasonable rate over this period, and without any major cuts in the payment over time, we think this is an attractive combination as it provides a nice boost to shareholder returns.

PepsiCo's Dividend Might Lack Growth

The company's investors will be pleased to have been receiving dividend income for some time. It's encouraging to see that PepsiCo has been growing its earnings per share at 12% a year over the past five years. Past earnings growth has been decent, but unless this is one of those rare businesses that can grow without additional capital investment or marketing spend, we'd generally expect the higher payout ratio to limit its future growth prospects.

Our Thoughts On PepsiCo's Dividend

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think PepsiCo's payments are rock solid. We can't deny that the payments have been very stable, but we are a little bit worried about the very high payout ratio. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For instance, we've picked out 2 warning signs for PepsiCo that investors should take into consideration. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.