Stock Analysis

After Leaping 28% Limoneira Company (NASDAQ:LMNR) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

NasdaqGS:LMNR
Source: Shutterstock

The Limoneira Company (NASDAQ:LMNR) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 28%. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 43% in the last year.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Limoneira is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1.9x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Food industry have P/S ratios below 0.8x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Limoneira

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:LMNR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 20th 2023

How Limoneira Has Been Performing

Limoneira hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think Limoneira's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Limoneira's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Likewise, not much has changed from three years ago as revenue have been stuck during that whole time. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been satisfied with the complete absence of medium-term growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 7.2% during the coming year according to the five analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 2.3%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Limoneira's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Limoneira's P/S?

Limoneira shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that Limoneira maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Food industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 6 warning signs for Limoneira (2 are significant!) that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Limoneira is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.