Assessing Kraft Heinz (KHC) Valuation After a Multi‑Year Share Price Slide

Kraft Heinz (KHC) has been grinding through a tough stretch, with the share price down about 20% this year and nearly 30% over the past 3 years, despite modest revenue growth.

See our latest analysis for Kraft Heinz.

At around $24.51 per share, Kraft Heinz has seen its 1 year total shareholder return slide roughly 18%, and the 3 year total shareholder return drop close to 30%. This suggests sentiment is still fading rather than turning.

If you are reassessing where slow moving staples fit in your portfolio, this might be a good moment to compare Kraft Heinz with other established healthcare stocks.

With the stock trading at a steep discount to some valuation estimates but still battling weak sentiment, investors now face a key question: Is Kraft Heinz a value opportunity, or is the market already pricing in any future recovery?

Most Popular Narrative: 9.5% Undervalued

With Kraft Heinz closing at $24.51 against a narrative fair value near $27.08, the latest consensus frames the stock as modestly mispriced, not broken.

Sustained investment in emerging markets, where both volume and margins are expanding at a double-digit rate, positions Kraft Heinz to capitalize on the rapid rise of the global middle class and urbanization, driving top line revenue growth and long-term earnings potential.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious how slow headline growth can still support a higher value? The narrative leans on a sharp earnings turnaround and a future profit multiple below today’s industry norm. Want to see which specific margin and share count assumptions make that math work? Dive in to unpack the full valuation playbook.

Result: Fair Value of $27.08 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, the narrative could unravel if North America retail volumes stay weak or if the planned split creates distraction, cost friction, and execution missteps.

Find out about the key risks to this Kraft Heinz narrative.

Build Your Own Kraft Heinz Narrative

If you are not convinced by this view or want to dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a personalized forecast in minutes: Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Kraft Heinz research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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