J&J Snack Foods Corp.

NasdaqGS:JJSF Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.2b

J&J Snack Foods Valuation

Is JJSF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of JJSF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: JJSF ($167.61) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($121.81)

Significantly Below Fair Value: JJSF is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for JJSF?

Key metric: As JJSF is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for JJSF. This is calculated by dividing JJSF's market cap by their current earnings.
What is JJSF's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio37.6x
EarningsUS$86.55m
Market CapUS$3.21b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does JJSF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for JJSF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.4x
SMPL Simply Good Foods
28.1x12.3%US$3.9b
NOMD Nomad Foods
13.5x20.4%US$2.8b
TR Tootsie Roll Industries
25.1xn/aUS$2.3b
TWNK Hostess Brands
35x14.4%US$4.4b
JJSF J&J Snack Foods
37.6x13.7%US$3.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: JJSF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.6x) compared to the peer average (22.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does JJSF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Food Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GCEH Global Clean Energy Holdings
2.1xn/aUS$43.42m
SEED Origin Agritech
1.9xn/aUS$15.23m
FAMI Farmmi
1.9xn/aUS$3.09m
IDBH.F Industrias Bachoco. de
0.0002xn/aUS$59.94k
JJSF 37.6xIndustry Avg. 19.4xNo. of Companies8PE01020304050+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: JJSF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.6x) compared to the US Food industry average (19.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is JJSF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

JJSF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio37.6x
Fair PE Ratio22x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: JJSF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst JJSF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$167.61
US$187.25
+11.7%
6.8%US$200.00US$174.00n/a4
Nov ’25US$165.86
US$192.25
+15.9%
4.1%US$200.00US$183.00n/a4
Oct ’25US$172.87
US$192.25
+11.2%
4.1%US$200.00US$183.00n/a4
Sep ’25US$170.19
US$192.25
+13.0%
4.1%US$200.00US$183.00n/a4
Aug ’25US$167.41
US$187.00
+11.7%
7.0%US$200.00US$173.00n/a4
Jul ’25US$164.94
US$188.25
+14.1%
7.6%US$205.00US$173.00n/a4
Jun ’25US$162.71
US$187.00
+14.9%
8.4%US$205.00US$168.00n/a4
May ’25US$137.13
US$174.00
+26.9%
9.5%US$195.00US$155.00n/a4
Apr ’25US$142.18
US$176.00
+23.8%
8.7%US$195.00US$155.00n/a4
Mar ’25US$142.94
US$176.00
+23.1%
8.7%US$195.00US$155.00n/a4
Feb ’25US$159.25
US$189.25
+18.8%
5.0%US$200.00US$175.00n/a4
Jan ’25US$167.14
US$189.25
+13.2%
5.0%US$200.00US$175.00n/a4
Dec ’24US$167.73
US$187.25
+11.6%
6.9%US$200.00US$166.00n/a4
Nov ’24US$158.86
US$184.00
+15.8%
6.0%US$195.00US$166.00US$165.864
Oct ’24US$163.65
US$184.00
+12.4%
6.0%US$195.00US$166.00US$172.874
Sep ’24US$162.61
US$184.50
+13.5%
6.0%US$195.00US$166.00US$170.194
Aug ’24US$170.46
US$173.00
+1.5%
4.0%US$180.00US$166.00US$167.412
Jul ’24US$158.36
US$164.50
+3.9%
5.3%US$175.00US$152.00US$164.944
Jun ’24US$152.55
US$163.75
+7.3%
5.6%US$175.00US$152.00US$162.714
May ’24US$154.78
US$160.25
+3.5%
5.7%US$175.00US$151.00US$137.134
Apr ’24US$148.22
US$158.00
+6.6%
7.0%US$175.00US$146.00US$142.184
Mar ’24US$140.52
US$158.00
+12.4%
7.0%US$175.00US$146.00US$142.944
Feb ’24US$138.89
US$162.75
+17.2%
6.8%US$175.00US$146.00US$159.254
Jan ’24US$149.71
US$171.00
+14.2%
4.5%US$180.00US$159.00US$167.144
Dec ’23US$163.62
US$159.75
-2.4%
8.7%US$180.00US$141.00US$167.734
Nov ’23US$146.45
US$150.00
+2.4%
8.6%US$165.00US$134.00US$158.864

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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