The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. Just Missed Earnings; Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Shareholders in The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:HAIN) had a terrible week, as shares crashed 48% to US$1.58 in the week since its latest third-quarter results. It was a pretty negative result overall, with revenues of US$390m missing analyst predictions by 4.7%. Worse, the business reported a statutory loss of US$1.49 per share, a substantial decline on analyst expectations of a profit. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

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After the latest results, the consensus from Hain Celestial Group's eleven analysts is for revenues of US$1.56b in 2026, which would reflect a perceptible 3.1% decline in revenue compared to the last year of performance. Earnings are expected to improve, with Hain Celestial Group forecast to report a statutory profit of US$0.068 per share. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$1.65b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.42 in 2026. The analysts seem less optimistic after the recent results, reducing their revenue forecasts and making a pretty serious reduction to earnings per share numbers.

Check out our latest analysis for Hain Celestial Group

It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analysts have cut their price target 34% to US$3.71. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on Hain Celestial Group, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$8.00 and the most bearish at US$1.50 per share. We would probably assign less value to the analyst forecasts in this situation, because such a wide range of estimates could imply that the future of this business is difficult to value accurately. With this in mind, we wouldn't rely too heavily the consensus price target, as it is just an average and analysts clearly have some deeply divergent views on the business.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. One thing that stands out from these estimates is that shrinking revenues are expected to moderate over the period ending 2026 compared to the historical decline of 4.7% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 2.4% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while it does have declining revenues, the analysts also expect Hain Celestial Group to suffer worse than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Unfortunately, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates underperformance compared to the wider industry. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. Furthermore, the analysts also cut their price targets, suggesting that the latest news has led to greater pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have forecasts for Hain Celestial Group going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Even so, be aware that Hain Celestial Group is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.