Stock Analysis

Whole Earth Brands, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FREE) Shares Leap 31% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

NasdaqCM:FREE
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The Whole Earth Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ:FREE) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 31%. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 32% in the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Whole Earth Brands' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Food industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.8x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

See our latest analysis for Whole Earth Brands

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:FREE Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 15th 2024

What Does Whole Earth Brands' Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times haven't been great for Whole Earth Brands as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will turn around. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Whole Earth Brands will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Whole Earth Brands' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Although pleasingly revenue has lifted 101% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, shareholders will be pleased, but also have some questions to ponder about the last 12 months.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 5.7% per year over the next three years. With the industry only predicted to deliver 2.7% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Whole Earth Brands' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Whole Earth Brands' P/S is back within range of the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Whole Earth Brands currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Whole Earth Brands you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Whole Earth Brands is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.