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Campbell's (CPB) Valuation Check After a 32% Share Price Slide Despite Improving Fundamentals
Reviewed by Simply Wall St
Campbell's (CPB) has had a rough stretch this year, with the stock sliding about 32% year to date even as revenue and net income are still inching higher, creating an interesting value setup.
See our latest analysis for Campbell's.
That slide reflects a market that is rethinking how much it is willing to pay for steady, slower growth, with the 1 year total shareholder return down 28.04% even as fundamentals improve. This suggests sentiment has weakened more than the underlying business.
If Campbell's shift toward branded snacks has caught your eye but the price action worries you, it could be worth exploring fast growing stocks with high insider ownership for more aggressively positioned growth names.
With the share price down sharply despite modest growth and a sizable intrinsic discount, investors face a key question: is Campbell's now mispriced value, or is the market correctly anticipating a slower growth future?
Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 15.5% Undervalued
With Campbell's last closing at $28.58 against a narrative fair value of $33.84, the storyline leans toward a discount that hinges on improving profitability.
Ongoing execution of expanded cost savings initiatives and supply chain optimization, including the newly raised $375 million target, should progressively improve operational efficiency, bolster net margins, and generate incremental earnings growth over the next several years.
Curious how flat revenues can still justify a higher value tag, despite muted growth expectations and only moderate margin expansion baked into the model? The narrative leans heavily on profit mix, disciplined cost cuts, and a future earnings multiple that quietly assumes investors will keep rewarding slow but steady compounding. Want to see the exact earnings climb and margin path that make this discount look attractive on paper?
Result: Fair Value of $33.84 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, this narrative could unravel if volume declines in core categories deepen or if rising input costs, such as tariffs on aluminum, erode anticipated margin gains.
Find out about the key risks to this Campbell's narrative.
Build Your Own Campbell's Narrative
If this perspective does not quite fit your view, or you prefer digging into the numbers yourself, you can construct a custom narrative in minutes: Do it your way
A great starting point for your Campbell's research is our analysis highlighting 5 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
Looking for more investment ideas beyond Campbell's?
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NasdaqGS:CPB
Campbell's
Manufactures and markets food and beverage products in the United States and internationally.
6 star dividend payer and undervalued.
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