Alico Valuation

Is ALCO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALCO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ALCO ($25.01) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($6.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALCO is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALCO?

Key metric: As ALCO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ALCO. This is calculated by dividing ALCO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ALCO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.3x
EarningsUS$26.04m
Market CapUS$193.39m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ALCO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ALCO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average51.5x
GGRO.U Golden Growers Cooperative
12xn/aUS$69.7m
LMNR Limoneira
85.9x-32.9%US$476.4m
FDP Fresh Del Monte Produce
106x71.9%US$1.6b
GCEH Global Clean Energy Holdings
2.1xn/aUS$45.0m
ALCO Alico
7.3x-139.1%US$193.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ALCO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the peer average (51.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ALCO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Food Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GCEH Global Clean Energy Holdings
2.1xn/aUS$45.02m
SEED Origin Agritech
1.8xn/aUS$14.54m
FAMI Farmmi
1.8xn/aUS$2.81m
IDBH.F Industrias Bachoco. de
0.0002xn/aUS$59.94k
ALCO 7.3xIndustry Avg. 19.2xNo. of Companies8PE01020304050+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ALCO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the US Food industry average (18.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALCO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALCO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.3x
Fair PE Ratio1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ALCO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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