Parkland Corporation

OTCPK:PKIU.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.9b

Parkland Valuation

Is PKIU.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PKIU.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$55.27
Fair Value
58.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
12
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: PKIU.F ($22.69) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($55.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PKIU.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PKIU.F?

Key metric: As PKIU.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PKIU.F. This is calculated by dividing PKIU.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PKIU.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio23.4x
EarningsCA$242.00m
Market CapCA$5.64b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PKIU.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PKIU.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.6x
DINO HF Sinclair
22x26.9%US$7.2b
SUN Sunoco
16.5x19.8%US$8.0b
CVI CVR Energy
27.6x33.5%US$2.0b
WKC World Kinect
12.3x2.2%US$1.6b
PKIU.F Parkland
23.4x32.9%US$5.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PKIU.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.4x) compared to the peer average (19.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PKIU.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum
0.09xn/aUS$10.27m
USDP USD Partners
1.2xn/aUS$758.24k
BYRO.F Byron Energy
0.03x-10.3%US$312.17k
USOP.Y U.S. Oil and Gas
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
PKIU.F 23.4xIndustry Avg. 12.2xNo. of Companies20PE0816243240+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PKIU.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.4x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (12.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PKIU.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PKIU.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23.4x
Fair PE Ratio17.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PKIU.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PKIU.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$22.69
US$32.94
+45.2%
11.0%US$40.51US$26.54n/a12
Jan ’26US$22.57
US$33.79
+49.7%
10.5%US$41.23US$27.72n/a13
Dec ’25US$26.13
US$33.84
+29.5%
10.8%US$41.36US$27.10n/a13
Nov ’25US$23.64
US$33.90
+43.4%
10.7%US$41.56US$27.23n/a13
Oct ’25US$25.89
US$37.72
+45.7%
10.3%US$44.26US$29.51n/a14
Sep ’25US$27.04
US$36.74
+35.9%
8.4%US$43.28US$31.02n/a14
Aug ’25US$27.57
US$37.17
+34.9%
8.0%US$43.25US$31.00n/a14
Jul ’25US$26.81
US$38.85
+44.9%
6.0%US$43.86US$33.63n/a14
Jun ’25US$28.53
US$38.85
+36.2%
6.0%US$43.86US$33.63n/a14
May ’25US$30.62
US$39.04
+27.5%
6.1%US$43.90US$33.66n/a14
Apr ’25US$31.83
US$39.47
+24.0%
7.2%US$44.20US$32.41n/a14
Mar ’25US$31.77
US$39.35
+23.9%
7.4%US$44.25US$32.45n/a14
Feb ’25US$34.26
US$38.58
+12.6%
9.1%US$44.88US$29.92US$22.4714
Jan ’25US$30.12
US$38.58
+28.1%
9.1%US$44.88US$29.92US$22.5714
Dec ’24US$30.96
US$37.11
+19.9%
8.8%US$43.59US$29.06US$26.1314
Nov ’24US$30.50
US$34.39
+12.8%
7.1%US$38.23US$28.13US$23.6414
Oct ’24US$29.32
US$32.18
+9.7%
5.3%US$35.44US$28.50US$25.8914
Sep ’24US$27.15
US$30.82
+13.5%
4.5%US$33.82US$28.67US$27.0414
Aug ’24US$26.52
US$30.24
+14.0%
6.2%US$33.33US$27.27US$27.5714
Jul ’24US$24.70
US$29.54
+19.6%
6.9%US$32.90US$26.92US$26.8114
Jun ’24US$25.05
US$29.54
+17.9%
6.7%US$32.71US$26.76US$28.5315
May ’24US$23.64
US$28.63
+21.1%
7.6%US$32.25US$24.92US$30.6215
Apr ’24US$23.91
US$28.72
+20.1%
8.4%US$32.80US$24.78US$31.8315
Mar ’24US$21.78
US$29.24
+34.3%
7.4%US$32.99US$26.24US$31.7715
Feb ’24US$23.58
US$29.30
+24.2%
8.3%US$34.55US$25.54US$34.2615
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
US$32.85
Fair Value
30.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
12
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/04 20:26
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/04 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Parkland Corporation is covered by 20 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Nathan HeywoodATB Capital Markets
John GibsonBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Luke HannanCanaccord Genuity