Neste Oyj

OTCPK:NTOI.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$11.3b

Neste Oyj Valuation

Is NTOI.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NTOI.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NTOI.F ($14.84) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($42.49)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NTOI.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NTOI.F?

Key metric: As NTOI.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NTOI.F. This is calculated by dividing NTOI.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NTOI.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio24.6x
Earnings€440.00m
Market Cap€10.81b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NTOI.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NTOI.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.9x
DINO HF Sinclair
24.1x23.6%US$7.9b
SUN Sunoco
15.1x20.7%US$7.4b
VLO Valero Energy
12x-1.7%US$44.3b
PSX Phillips 66
16.5x15.1%US$55.0b
NTOI.F Neste Oyj
24.6x48.0%US$10.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NTOI.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.6x) compared to the peer average (16.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NTOI.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum
0.09xn/aUS$10.27m
BYRO.F Byron Energy
0.03x-10.3%US$312.17k
USOP.Y U.S. Oil and Gas
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
NTOI.F 24.6xIndustry Avg. 11.6xNo. of Companies20PE0816243240+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NTOI.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.6x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (11.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NTOI.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NTOI.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio24.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NTOI.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NTOI.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$14.84
US$20.86
+40.6%
20.6%US$29.51US$14.23n/a20
Nov ’25US$15.58
US$22.67
+45.4%
23.0%US$39.16US$14.68n/a20
Oct ’25US$20.57
US$24.99
+21.5%
20.6%US$40.23US$17.88n/a20
Sep ’25US$23.98
US$26.94
+12.3%
22.7%US$43.19US$18.83n/a20
Aug ’25US$19.70
US$25.80
+31.0%
23.2%US$42.16US$18.38n/a20
Jul ’25US$17.75
US$29.36
+65.4%
25.2%US$42.87US$20.90n/a20
Jun ’25US$20.70
US$30.94
+49.5%
25.7%US$43.39US$21.15n/a21
May ’25US$22.68
US$36.08
+59.1%
18.9%US$48.04US$23.48n/a21
Apr ’25US$28.10
US$40.48
+44.1%
19.2%US$53.11US$28.18n/a21
Mar ’25US$27.92
US$41.14
+47.4%
16.4%US$52.77US$30.16n/a20
Feb ’25US$35.40
US$47.58
+34.4%
15.9%US$64.05US$32.57n/a21
Jan ’25n/a
US$48.41
0%
16.2%US$64.52US$32.81n/a20
Dec ’24US$37.53
US$48.21
+28.5%
15.7%US$64.18US$32.63n/a20
Nov ’24US$33.83
US$47.64
+40.8%
16.4%US$62.64US$31.85US$15.5820
Oct ’24US$34.45
US$49.79
+44.5%
16.2%US$62.81US$31.94US$20.5720
Sep ’24US$36.49
US$51.25
+40.4%
16.8%US$64.17US$32.63US$23.9820
Aug ’24US$37.30
US$52.44
+40.6%
16.6%US$65.04US$33.07US$19.7020
Jul ’24US$37.90
US$54.97
+45.0%
16.8%US$70.80US$32.68US$17.7520
Jun ’24US$39.60
US$54.59
+37.8%
15.8%US$69.94US$32.28US$20.7021
May ’24US$47.60
US$58.26
+22.4%
12.9%US$71.63US$42.98US$22.6820
Apr ’24US$49.29
US$57.62
+16.9%
13.0%US$70.89US$42.53US$28.1021
Mar ’24US$48.00
US$56.30
+17.3%
12.5%US$69.46US$41.68US$27.9221
Feb ’24US$48.50
US$56.80
+17.1%
12.8%US$70.93US$44.74US$35.4021
Jan ’24US$45.25
US$55.89
+23.5%
12.2%US$68.99US$44.58n/a20
Dec ’23US$50.37
US$55.47
+10.1%
12.0%US$68.42US$44.21US$37.5320
Nov ’23US$44.37
US$52.48
+18.3%
12.0%US$64.79US$41.86US$33.8320

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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