Galp Energia, SGPS, S.A.

OTCPK:GLPE.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$12.8b

Galp Energia SGPS Valuation

Is GLPE.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GLPE.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GLPE.F ($16.88) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($12.36)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GLPE.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GLPE.F?

Key metric: As GLPE.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GLPE.F. This is calculated by dividing GLPE.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GLPE.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9x
Earnings€1.34b
Market Cap€12.09b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GLPE.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GLPE.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.6x
OXY Occidental Petroleum
13.4x8.7%US$46.8b
CVX Chevron
17.5x7.4%US$292.1b
PAA Plains All American Pipeline
16.2x0.3%US$12.4b
XOM Exxon Mobil
15.3x5.2%US$518.5b
GLPE.F Galp Energia SGPS
9x-11.2%US$12.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GLPE.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the peer average (15.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GLPE.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum
0.09xn/aUS$10.27m
BYRO.F Byron Energy
0.03x-10.3%US$312.17k
USOP.Y U.S. Oil and Gas
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
GLPE.F 9.0xIndustry Avg. 11.5xNo. of Companies20PE0816243240+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GLPE.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (11.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GLPE.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GLPE.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GLPE.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GLPE.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$16.88
US$21.73
+28.8%
12.0%US$27.47US$16.38n/a20
Nov ’25n/a
US$22.37
0%
12.3%US$29.20US$17.84n/a19
Oct ’25US$18.50
US$24.20
+30.8%
12.7%US$30.17US$19.56n/a18
Sep ’25n/a
US$24.57
0%
12.3%US$31.01US$19.38n/a18
Aug ’25US$20.66
US$24.12
+16.8%
11.9%US$30.38US$19.97n/a18
Jul ’25US$20.68
US$23.34
+12.9%
14.2%US$30.07US$15.03n/a18
Jun ’25n/a
US$23.52
0%
14.2%US$30.38US$15.19n/a18
May ’25US$20.64
US$21.43
+3.8%
16.6%US$26.73US$14.97n/a18
Apr ’25US$16.24
US$16.48
+1.5%
13.6%US$19.33US$9.67n/a18
Mar ’25US$15.94
US$16.44
+3.2%
13.0%US$19.31US$9.66n/a19
Feb ’25US$15.68
US$16.33
+4.1%
14.7%US$19.57US$9.78n/a19
Jan ’25n/a
US$15.59
0%
14.3%US$20.45US$9.69n/a19
Dec ’24US$14.61
US$15.95
+9.2%
14.3%US$20.85US$9.87n/a19
Nov ’24n/a
US$15.41
0%
14.9%US$20.11US$9.52n/a19
Oct ’24n/a
US$14.81
0%
16.2%US$20.12US$9.53US$18.5019
Sep ’24US$13.14
US$14.77
+12.4%
16.4%US$20.61US$9.76n/a19
Aug ’24US$12.33
US$14.98
+21.5%
14.7%US$19.79US$11.00US$20.6619
Jul ’24n/a
US$14.54
0%
15.6%US$19.64US$10.91US$20.6819
Jun ’24US$10.47
US$14.35
+37.0%
15.8%US$19.24US$10.69n/a19
May ’24n/a
US$14.89
0%
16.2%US$20.87US$11.31US$20.6420
Apr ’24US$11.20
US$14.97
+33.6%
15.4%US$20.60US$11.49US$16.2420
Mar ’24US$11.54
US$14.90
+29.1%
15.2%US$20.15US$10.61US$15.9420
Feb ’24US$14.10
US$15.71
+11.4%
14.9%US$20.87US$10.99US$15.6820
Jan ’24US$13.62
US$14.87
+9.2%
14.5%US$18.05US$10.62n/a20
Dec ’23US$12.14
US$14.72
+21.2%
15.0%US$18.95US$10.53US$14.6120
Nov ’23US$10.15
US$13.57
+33.7%
15.1%US$17.77US$9.87n/a21

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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