Birchcliff Energy Ltd.

OTCPK:BIRE.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.1b

Birchcliff Energy Valuation

Is BIRE.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BIRE.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$1.26
Fair Value
220.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
11
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: BIRE.F ($4.03) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($1.26)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BIRE.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BIRE.F?

Key metric: As BIRE.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BIRE.F. This is calculated by dividing BIRE.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BIRE.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio101.1x
EarningsCA$15.35m
Market CapCA$1.54b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BIRE.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BIRE.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8x
INR Infinity Natural Resources
2.5xn/aUS$1.2b
VTLE Vital Energy
2.5x-22.3%US$1.1b
GRNT Granite Ridge Resources
16.6x35.6%US$801.5m
SBR Sabine Royalty Trust
10.4xn/aUS$977.8m
BIRE.F Birchcliff Energy
101.1xn/aUS$1.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BIRE.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (101.1x) compared to the peer average (8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BIRE.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum
0.09xn/aUS$10.27m
USDP USD Partners
0.9xn/aUS$716.86k
BYRO.F Byron Energy
0.03x-10.3%US$312.17k
USOP.Y U.S. Oil and Gas
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
BIRE.F 101.1xIndustry Avg. 11.9xNo. of Companies20PE0816243240+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BIRE.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (101.1x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (11.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BIRE.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BIRE.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio101.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate BIRE.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BIRE.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$4.03
US$5.02
+24.5%
13.4%US$6.29US$4.19n/a11
Feb ’26US$3.93
US$5.00
+27.1%
13.4%US$6.26US$4.17n/a11
Jan ’26US$3.77
US$4.54
+20.5%
15.0%US$5.94US$3.49n/a12
Dec ’25US$3.78
US$4.68
+23.8%
14.1%US$6.04US$3.55n/a12
Nov ’25US$3.66
US$4.74
+29.4%
14.4%US$6.14US$3.61n/a12
Oct ’25US$4.27
US$4.93
+15.3%
14.4%US$6.30US$3.71n/a12
Sep ’25US$4.37
US$4.95
+13.3%
12.2%US$6.21US$4.02n/a12
Aug ’25US$4.19
US$4.91
+17.0%
12.6%US$6.20US$4.01n/a12
Jul ’25US$4.32
US$4.81
+11.4%
13.5%US$6.20US$3.65n/a12
Jun ’25US$4.55
US$4.65
+2.1%
14.4%US$6.24US$3.67n/a13
May ’25US$3.99
US$4.62
+15.9%
15.1%US$6.20US$3.65n/a13
Apr ’25US$3.93
US$4.63
+17.7%
16.2%US$6.28US$3.69n/a13
Mar ’25US$4.08
US$4.83
+18.3%
22.3%US$7.42US$3.71n/a13
Feb ’25US$3.73
US$5.01
+34.3%
20.6%US$7.46US$3.73US$3.9314
Jan ’25US$4.36
US$6.85
+57.2%
21.6%US$10.47US$4.49US$3.7714
Dec ’24US$4.90
US$6.91
+41.1%
18.4%US$10.21US$4.74US$3.7814
Nov ’24US$5.60
US$7.06
+26.0%
16.5%US$10.21US$5.65US$3.6614
Oct ’24US$5.73
US$7.27
+26.8%
19.5%US$11.86US$5.93US$4.2714
Sep ’24US$6.22
US$7.25
+16.6%
19.3%US$11.90US$5.58US$4.3715
Aug ’24US$5.94
US$7.32
+23.3%
20.1%US$12.11US$5.67US$4.1915
Jul ’24US$5.95
US$7.49
+25.9%
20.7%US$12.08US$5.66US$4.3215
Jun ’24US$5.63
US$7.49
+33.0%
20.9%US$11.86US$5.56US$4.5515
May ’24US$5.94
US$7.60
+27.9%
19.5%US$11.82US$5.91US$3.9915
Apr ’24US$5.65
US$8.30
+47.0%
23.5%US$13.27US$5.90US$3.9315
Mar ’24US$6.29
US$9.04
+43.7%
19.2%US$13.38US$6.69US$4.0815
Feb ’24US$6.32
US$9.59
+51.7%
22.3%US$14.94US$6.72US$3.7315
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
US$5.04
Fair Value
20.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
11
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/07 20:47
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/07 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Birchcliff Energy Ltd. is covered by 27 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Patrick O'RourkeATB Capital Markets
Randy OllenbergerBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Michael MuellerCanaccord Genuity