Advantage Energy Ltd.

OTCPK:AAVV.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.4b

Advantage Energy Valuation

Is AAVV.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of AAVV.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: AAVV.F ($7.41) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value ($24.72)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: AAVV.F is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AAVV.F?

Key metric: As AAVV.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AAVV.F. This is calculated by dividing AAVV.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AAVV.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio32.4x
EarningsCA$53.05m
Market CapCA$1.87b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AAVV.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AAVV.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.5x
DEC Diversified Energy
3.5x-32.38%US$1.3b
DMLP Dorchester Minerals
23.9xn/aUS$1.3b
SBR Sabine Royalty Trust
14.5xn/aUS$1.1b
KRP Kimbell Royalty Partners
23.9x1.06%US$1.6b
AAVV.F Advantage Energy
32.4x60.51%US$1.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AAVV.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.4x) compared to the peer average (16.5x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AAVV.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SAFX XCF Global
1.3x-50.55%US$100.68m
TOPS Top Ships
1.3xn/aUS$14.34m
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum
0.09xn/aUS$10.27m
RUBI Rubico
1.4xn/aUS$3.62m
AAVV.F 32.4xIndustry Avg. 15.7xNo. of Companies16PE0816243240+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AAVV.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.4x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (16.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AAVV.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AAVV.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio32.4x
Fair PE Ratio35.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AAVV.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AAVV.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$7.41
US$10.05
+35.63%
5.05%US$10.77US$8.97n/a9
Mar ’27US$7.66
US$10.55
+37.69%
13.06%US$14.60US$8.76n/a11
Feb ’27US$8.08
US$10.86
+34.44%
11.70%US$14.75US$9.96n/a11
Jan ’27US$8.68
US$10.83
+24.77%
11.48%US$14.57US$9.84n/a11
Dec ’26US$9.00
US$10.15
+12.88%
13.42%US$14.18US$8.51n/a11
Nov ’26US$7.96
US$10.24
+28.59%
13.42%US$14.30US$8.58n/a11
Oct ’26US$8.29
US$10.18
+22.78%
14.33%US$14.37US$8.62n/a11
Sep ’26US$8.07
US$10.23
+26.82%
14.33%US$14.46US$8.67n/a11
Aug ’26US$7.95
US$10.25
+29.05%
13.95%US$14.52US$8.71n/a12
Jul ’26US$8.67
US$10.25
+18.20%
15.02%US$14.68US$8.44n/a12
Jun ’26US$8.13
US$9.72
+19.56%
16.66%US$14.30US$7.87n/a12
May ’26US$7.21
US$9.66
+34.00%
17.81%US$14.45US$7.95n/a12
Apr ’26US$7.70
US$9.59
+24.60%
17.11%US$13.98US$7.69US$7.4111
Mar ’26US$6.99
US$9.53
+36.40%
17.11%US$13.89US$7.64US$7.6611
Feb ’26US$6.36
US$9.53
+49.92%
17.11%US$13.89US$7.64US$8.0811
Jan ’26US$6.85
US$9.21
+34.46%
18.53%US$13.97US$7.69US$8.6811
Dec ’25US$6.42
US$9.40
+46.50%
18.40%US$14.22US$7.82US$9.0011
Nov ’25US$6.24
US$9.45
+51.49%
18.72%US$14.39US$7.92US$7.9611
Oct ’25US$7.11
US$10.04
+41.21%
17.27%US$14.82US$8.15US$8.2911
Sep ’25US$7.19
US$10.09
+40.32%
15.00%US$14.46US$8.68US$8.0711
Aug ’25US$6.82
US$10.09
+47.93%
15.00%US$14.46US$8.68US$7.9511
Jul ’25US$7.42
US$10.18
+37.18%
14.93%US$14.59US$8.75US$8.6711
Jun ’25US$8.49
US$9.85
+16.02%
15.20%US$13.91US$8.05US$8.1312
May ’25US$7.78
US$9.85
+26.58%
15.20%US$13.91US$8.05US$7.2112
Apr ’25US$7.31
US$9.55
+30.66%
13.42%US$12.49US$7.71US$7.7011
US$10.08
Fair Value
26.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
9
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/04/01 17:45
End of Day Share Price 2026/04/01 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Advantage Energy Ltd. is covered by 15 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Patrick O'RourkeATB Cormark
Tariq SaadBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
James KubikCIBC Capital Markets