Advantage Energy Ltd.

OTCPK:AAVV.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.1b

Advantage Energy Valuation

Is AAVV.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AAVV.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AAVV.F ($6.34) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($7.56)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AAVV.F is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AAVV.F?

Key metric: As AAVV.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AAVV.F. This is calculated by dividing AAVV.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AAVV.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio32.6x
EarningsCA$45.62m
Market CapCA$1.49b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AAVV.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AAVV.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.1x
VTLE Vital Energy
2.5x-18.3%US$1.1b
GRNT Granite Ridge Resources
17.9x35.6%US$852.5m
VTS Vitesse Energy
17.9x-20.5%US$828.4m
SBR Sabine Royalty Trust
9.9xn/aUS$920.4m
AAVV.F Advantage Energy
32.6x46.1%US$1.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AAVV.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.6x) compared to the peer average (12.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AAVV.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum
0.09xn/aUS$10.27m
BYRO.F Byron Energy
0.03x-10.3%US$312.17k
USOP.Y U.S. Oil and Gas
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
AAVV.F 32.6xIndustry Avg. 11.5xNo. of Companies20PE0816243240+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AAVV.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.6x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (11.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AAVV.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AAVV.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio32.6x
Fair PE Ratio18.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AAVV.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AAVV.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$6.34
US$9.40
+48.4%
18.4%US$14.22US$7.82n/a11
Nov ’25US$6.24
US$9.45
+51.5%
18.7%US$14.39US$7.92n/a11
Oct ’25US$7.11
US$10.04
+41.2%
17.3%US$14.82US$8.15n/a11
Sep ’25US$7.19
US$10.09
+40.3%
15.0%US$14.46US$8.68n/a11
Aug ’25US$6.82
US$10.09
+47.9%
15.0%US$14.46US$8.68n/a11
Jul ’25US$7.42
US$10.18
+37.2%
14.9%US$14.59US$8.75n/a11
Jun ’25US$8.49
US$9.85
+16.0%
15.2%US$13.91US$8.05n/a12
May ’25US$7.78
US$9.85
+26.6%
15.2%US$13.91US$8.05n/a12
Apr ’25US$7.31
US$9.55
+30.7%
13.4%US$12.49US$7.71n/a11
Mar ’25US$7.55
US$9.27
+22.7%
14.3%US$11.89US$7.24n/a11
Feb ’25US$6.60
US$9.31
+41.0%
14.8%US$11.93US$7.27n/a12
Jan ’25US$6.46
US$9.60
+48.6%
17.9%US$13.55US$7.15n/a13
Dec ’24US$6.86
US$9.46
+37.8%
17.0%US$13.34US$7.04n/a14
Nov ’24US$7.46
US$9.15
+22.7%
17.4%US$12.98US$6.85US$6.2414
Oct ’24US$6.88
US$9.17
+33.2%
16.3%US$11.86US$7.04US$7.1113
Sep ’24US$7.25
US$9.17
+26.5%
16.3%US$12.13US$7.20US$7.1914
Aug ’24US$7.02
US$9.17
+30.6%
16.3%US$12.13US$7.20US$6.8214
Jul ’24US$6.58
US$8.88
+35.0%
16.6%US$12.08US$7.17US$7.4214
Jun ’24US$5.37
US$8.78
+63.5%
16.2%US$11.77US$6.62US$8.4914
May ’24US$5.45
US$8.92
+63.6%
15.7%US$11.81US$7.01US$7.7814
Apr ’24US$5.77
US$9.54
+65.2%
13.7%US$12.53US$7.74US$7.3114
Mar ’24US$6.03
US$9.69
+60.7%
14.6%US$12.46US$7.69US$7.5514
Feb ’24US$6.02
US$10.31
+71.3%
11.3%US$12.78US$8.91US$6.6014
Jan ’24US$7.01
US$10.72
+53.0%
9.3%US$12.49US$8.82US$6.4613
Dec ’23US$8.78
US$10.73
+22.2%
9.3%US$12.49US$8.82US$6.8613
Nov ’23US$7.70
US$10.73
+39.4%
9.3%US$12.49US$8.82US$7.4613

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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