PEDEVCO Valuation

Is PED undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PED when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PED ($1.04) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($0.32)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PED is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PED?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

PED key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.4x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does PED's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for PED vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.7x
MVO MV Oil Trust
5.7xn/aUS$105.7m
EP Empire Petroleum
3.9xn/aUS$157.4m
CRT Cross Timbers Royalty Trust
5.8xn/aUS$60.0m
NRT North European Oil Royalty Trust
11.3xn/aUS$58.7m
PED PEDEVCO
3x20.7%US$92.9m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: PED is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3x) compared to the peer average (6.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PED's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: PED is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (2.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PED's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PED PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3x
Fair PS Ratio1.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: PED is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PED forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$1.04
US$2.05
+97.1%
10.5%US$2.25US$1.75n/a3
Jul ’25US$0.91
US$2.20
+141.0%
2.3%US$2.25US$2.15n/a2
Jun ’25US$0.96
US$2.20
+129.2%
2.3%US$2.25US$2.15n/a2
May ’25US$0.94
US$2.20
+134.4%
2.3%US$2.25US$2.15n/a2
Apr ’25US$0.84
US$2.20
+162.9%
2.3%US$2.25US$2.15n/a2
Mar ’25US$0.72
US$2.20
+205.5%
2.3%US$2.25US$2.15n/a2
Feb ’25US$0.69
US$2.20
+220.2%
2.3%US$2.25US$2.15n/a2
Jan ’25US$0.77
US$2.20
+185.7%
2.3%US$2.25US$2.15n/a2
Dec ’24US$0.83
US$2.20
+164.7%
2.3%US$2.25US$2.15n/a2
Nov ’24US$0.91
US$2.33
+156.9%
7.5%US$2.50US$2.15n/a2
Oct ’24US$1.01
US$2.33
+130.2%
7.5%US$2.50US$2.15n/a2
Sep ’24US$0.99
US$2.33
+134.8%
7.5%US$2.50US$2.15n/a2
Aug ’24US$0.94
US$2.28
+142.0%
5.5%US$2.40US$2.15n/a2
Jul ’24US$0.92
US$2.28
+148.6%
5.5%US$2.40US$2.15US$0.912
Jun ’24US$0.86
US$2.28
+164.5%
5.5%US$2.40US$2.15US$0.962
May ’24US$0.90
US$2.28
+152.8%
5.5%US$2.40US$2.15US$0.942
Apr ’24US$1.06
US$2.28
+114.6%
5.5%US$2.40US$2.15US$0.842
Mar ’24US$1.01
US$2.28
+125.2%
5.5%US$2.40US$2.15US$0.722
Feb ’24US$1.03
US$2.28
+120.9%
5.5%US$2.40US$2.15US$0.692
Jan ’24US$1.10
US$2.28
+106.8%
5.5%US$2.40US$2.15US$0.772
Dec ’23US$1.15
US$2.28
+97.8%
5.5%US$2.40US$2.15US$0.832
Nov ’23US$1.28
US$2.28
+77.7%
5.5%US$2.40US$2.15US$0.912
Oct ’23US$1.01
US$2.28
+125.2%
5.5%US$2.40US$2.15US$1.012
Sep ’23US$1.06
US$2.28
+114.6%
5.5%US$2.40US$2.15US$0.992
Aug ’23US$1.21
US$2.28
+88.0%
5.5%US$2.40US$2.15US$0.942
Jul ’23US$1.17
US$2.28
+94.4%
5.5%US$2.40US$2.15US$0.922

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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