PEDEVCO Valuation

Is PED undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PED when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate PED's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate PED's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PED?

Key metric: As PED is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PED. This is calculated by dividing PED's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PED's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio28.2x
EarningsUS$2.35m
Market CapUS$66.23m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PED's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PED vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.2x
CRT Cross Timbers Royalty Trust
8.5xn/aUS$57.7m
MVO MV Oil Trust
5.2xn/aUS$94.2m
NRT North European Oil Royalty Trust
8.2xn/aUS$36.0m
PVL Permianville Royalty Trust
6.8xn/aUS$45.5m
PED PEDEVCO
28.2x35.6%US$66.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PED is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.2x) compared to the peer average (7.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PED's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum
0.09xn/aUS$10.27m
BYRO.F Byron Energy
0.03x-10.3%US$312.17k
USOP.Y U.S. Oil and Gas
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
PED 28.2xIndustry Avg. 10.9xNo. of Companies16PE0612182430+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PED is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.2x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (10.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PED's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PED PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.2x
Fair PE Ratio12.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PED is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PED forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$0.74
US$1.80
+143.2%
14.9%US$2.15US$1.50n/a3
Dec ’25US$0.84
US$1.80
+115.1%
14.9%US$2.15US$1.50n/a3
Nov ’25US$0.91
US$2.05
+125.3%
10.5%US$2.25US$1.75n/a3
Oct ’25US$1.02
US$2.05
+101.0%
10.5%US$2.25US$1.75n/a3
Sep ’25US$0.86
US$2.05
+139.7%
10.5%US$2.25US$1.75n/a3
Aug ’25US$0.95
US$2.05
+114.9%
10.5%US$2.25US$1.75n/a3
Jul ’25US$0.91
US$2.20
+141.0%
2.3%US$2.25US$2.15n/a2
Jun ’25US$0.96
US$2.20
+129.2%
2.3%US$2.25US$2.15n/a2
May ’25US$0.94
US$2.20
+134.4%
2.3%US$2.25US$2.15n/a2
Apr ’25US$0.84
US$2.20
+162.9%
2.3%US$2.25US$2.15n/a2
Mar ’25US$0.72
US$2.20
+205.5%
2.3%US$2.25US$2.15n/a2
Feb ’25US$0.69
US$2.20
+220.2%
2.3%US$2.25US$2.15n/a2
Jan ’25US$0.77
US$2.20
+185.7%
2.3%US$2.25US$2.15n/a2
Dec ’24US$0.83
US$2.20
+164.7%
2.3%US$2.25US$2.15US$0.842
Nov ’24US$0.91
US$2.33
+156.9%
7.5%US$2.50US$2.15US$0.912
Oct ’24US$1.01
US$2.33
+130.2%
7.5%US$2.50US$2.15US$1.022
Sep ’24US$0.99
US$2.33
+134.8%
7.5%US$2.50US$2.15US$0.862
Aug ’24US$0.94
US$2.28
+142.0%
5.5%US$2.40US$2.15US$0.952
Jul ’24US$0.92
US$2.28
+148.6%
5.5%US$2.40US$2.15US$0.912
Jun ’24US$0.86
US$2.28
+164.5%
5.5%US$2.40US$2.15US$0.962
May ’24US$0.90
US$2.28
+152.8%
5.5%US$2.40US$2.15US$0.942
Apr ’24US$1.06
US$2.28
+114.6%
5.5%US$2.40US$2.15US$0.842
Mar ’24US$1.01
US$2.28
+125.2%
5.5%US$2.40US$2.15US$0.722
Feb ’24US$1.03
US$2.28
+120.9%
5.5%US$2.40US$2.15US$0.692
Jan ’24US$1.10
US$2.28
+106.8%
5.5%US$2.40US$2.15US$0.772
Dec ’23US$1.15
US$2.28
+97.8%
5.5%US$2.40US$2.15US$0.832

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/23 14:45
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

PEDEVCO Corp. is covered by 6 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jeffrey GramppAlliance Global Partners
Timothy MooreD. Boral Capital LLC.
Jesse SobelsonD. Boral Capital LLC.