Valero Energy Future Growth
Future criteria checks 1/6
Valero Energy's revenue is forecast to decline at 3.4% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 6.5% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 10.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 11.9% in 3 years.
Key information
6.5%
Earnings growth rate
10.8%
EPS growth rate
| Oil and Gas earnings growth | 8.3% |
| Revenue growth rate | -3.4% |
| Future return on equity | 11.9% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 20 Jan 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
Results: Valero Energy Corporation Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
Jul 27
Analysts Are Updating Their Valero Energy Corporation (NYSE:VLO) Estimates After Its Annual Results
Jan 27Recent updates
Valero Energy (NYSE:VLO) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year
Jan 20Earnings Working Against Valero Energy Corporation's (NYSE:VLO) Share Price
Jan 14Does Valero Energy (NYSE:VLO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Dec 29Valero Energy's Third Quarter Highlights 2 Futures: Conventional And Renewable Energies
Nov 18The Valero Downtrend Post Q3 Earnings Presents An Opportunity
Nov 08Valero Energy Earnings Preview: Industry Best Operating Costs Shine Bright In A Weak Market
Oct 23Investors Aren't Buying Valero Energy Corporation's (NYSE:VLO) Earnings
Sep 17Valero Energy Corporation: A Stalling Bullish Trend
Sep 03Valero Energy (NYSE:VLO) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
Aug 14The Refining Giant: Valero's Impressive Shareholder Payback
Jul 29Results: Valero Energy Corporation Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
Jul 27Valero Energy Corporation (NYSE:VLO) Shares Could Be 40% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Jun 26Valero Energy: Supportive Upside Ahead
Jun 25Valero: Growing Free Cash Flow To Support Dividend Growth
Jun 12The Trend Of High Returns At Valero Energy (NYSE:VLO) Has Us Very Interested
Jun 10Valero Energy Corporation's (NYSE:VLO) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift Shares
May 26Valero's Buyback Makes Shares Attractive Given A Favorable Environment
May 15If You Like Buybacks (And Dividends), You'll Love Valero
May 07Crack Spreads Continue To Support Valero Energy Stock
Apr 05We Think Valero Energy (NYSE:VLO) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Mar 28Valero: Gasoline Prices Will Jump In April, But I Won't Jump On This Rally (Rating Downgrade)
Mar 18Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Valero Energy Corporation (NYSE:VLO)
Mar 12Why We Like The Returns At Valero Energy (NYSE:VLO)
Feb 11Analysts Are Updating Their Valero Energy Corporation (NYSE:VLO) Estimates After Its Annual Results
Jan 27Valero Energy: Adjusting Estimates, But It Is A Buy
Jan 12Valero's A Dividend And Buyback Gem - If It Drops, I'm Buying
Jan 03Valero Energy: Holding At Current Levels
Dec 11Valero Energy: Buy Rating Fueled By 3% Dividend Yield And Undervaluation
Nov 29Valero Energy: Pressure On Refining Spreads Is Bearish For The Oil Refiner
Nov 02Valero Energy: A Solid Q3 With A Powerful Buyback In Place
Oct 27Valero Energy: Taking To 'Hold' After Solid Run (Rating Downgrade)
Oct 04Valero: Despite Massive Strength, I'm Considering Selling (Rating Downgrade)
Sep 26Valero: Renewables And Sustainable Fuel Will Contribute To Upside
Aug 25Vectoring In On Valero Energy
Jul 24Checking In On The Health Of Valero And Its Markets
Jul 09Valero: U.S. Gasoline Prices Will Soar This Decade As More Refineries Shutter
Jun 14Valero Energy: Keeping A Keen Eye On Diversification Reveals Solid Potential
Jun 05Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 108,763 | 4,149 | N/A | 8,631 | 1 |
| 12/31/2026 | 123,058 | 3,387 | 4,782 | 6,548 | 11 |
| 12/31/2025 | 120,352 | 2,465 | 3,634 | 5,759 | 12 |
| 12/31/2024 | 129,579 | 2,542 | 4,467 | 6,457 | 12 |
| 9/30/2024 | 128,731 | 3,681 | 5,992 | 6,852 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 134,330 | 5,932 | 7,995 | 8,865 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 134,356 | 6,993 | 7,059 | 7,905 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 139,001 | 8,808 | 8,318 | 9,229 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 145,455 | 10,710 | 11,014 | 12,086 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 151,760 | 10,902 | 9,508 | 10,823 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 169,087 | 13,640 | 13,594 | 15,156 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 171,189 | 11,485 | 10,893 | 12,574 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 165,157 | 9,391 | 9,160 | 10,932 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 149,826 | 7,047 | 8,564 | 10,336 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 124,645 | 2,531 | 4,789 | 6,499 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 108,332 | 924 | 4,194 | 5,859 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 89,220 | -443 | 1,838 | 3,501 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 75,780 | -1,370 | 610 | 2,217 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 60,187 | -281 | -747 | 945 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 60,115 | -1,426 | -840 | 948 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 71,240 | -10 | 683 | 2,560 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 82,620 | 1,063 | 1,883 | 3,824 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 100,530 | 425 | 2,564 | 4,605 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 102,729 | 2,415 | 3,537 | 5,531 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 103,682 | 2,308 | 3,181 | 5,501 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 107,343 | 2,554 | 2,244 | 4,568 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 109,365 | 2,785 | 2,832 | 5,110 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 111,407 | 3,113 | 2,087 | 4,371 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 108,953 | 4,524 | 2,449 | 4,353 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 101,557 | 4,510 | N/A | 4,894 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 92,882 | 4,215 | N/A | 4,632 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 88,407 | 4,051 | N/A | 5,482 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 82,967 | 2,058 | N/A | 4,820 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 79,103 | 1,830 | N/A | 4,646 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 76,347 | 2,096 | N/A | 5,168 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 70,166 | 2,282 | N/A | 4,820 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 67,958 | 2,216 | N/A | 4,309 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 70,748 | 2,980 | N/A | 4,808 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 76,239 | 3,518 | N/A | 4,818 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 81,824 | 3,987 | N/A | 5,611 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 92,409 | 4,844 | N/A | 6,121 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 105,776 | 4,527 | N/A | 6,625 | N/A |
| 3/31/2015 | 117,085 | 3,827 | N/A | 5,430 | N/A |
| 12/31/2014 | 124,943 | 3,692 | N/A | 4,241 | N/A |
| 9/30/2014 | 137,414 | 3,826 | N/A | 5,773 | N/A |
| 6/30/2014 | 139,143 | 3,078 | N/A | 4,128 | N/A |
| 3/31/2014 | 138,263 | 2,887 | N/A | 4,259 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: VLO's forecast earnings growth (6.5% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).
Earnings vs Market: VLO's earnings (6.5% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.9% per year).
High Growth Earnings: VLO's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: VLO's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-3.4% per year).
High Growth Revenue: VLO's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-3.4% per year).
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: VLO's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (11.9%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2025/01/21 07:23 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2025/01/17 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2024/09/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2023/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .
Analyst Sources
Valero Energy Corporation is covered by 45 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| William Selesky | Argus Research Company |
| Ishan Majumdar | Baptista Research |
| Yim Cheng | Barclays |