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Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Teekay Tankers Ltd.'s (NYSE:TNK) P/S Ratio
It's not a stretch to say that Teekay Tankers Ltd.'s (NYSE:TNK) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Oil and Gas industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
See our latest analysis for Teekay Tankers
How Has Teekay Tankers Performed Recently?
With its revenue growth in positive territory compared to the declining revenue of most other companies, Teekay Tankers has been doing quite well of late. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think the company's revenue will be less resilient moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Teekay Tankers will help you uncover what's on the horizon.How Is Teekay Tankers' Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Teekay Tankers would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 66%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 33% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 16% per annum as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 37% per year, which paints a poor picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that Teekay Tankers is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From Teekay Tankers' P/S?
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
It appears that Teekay Tankers currently trades on a higher than expected P/S for a company whose revenues are forecast to decline. When we see a gloomy outlook like this, our immediate thoughts are that the share price is at risk of declining, negatively impacting P/S. If we consider the revenue outlook, the P/S seems to indicate that potential investors may be paying a premium for the stock.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Teekay Tankers (at least 1 which is concerning), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Teekay Tankers might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:TNK
Teekay Tankers
Provides crude oil and other marine transportation services to oil industries in Bermuda and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet, undervalued and pays a dividend.