Stock Analysis

Revenues Tell The Story For Tidewater Inc. (NYSE:TDW) As Its Stock Soars 25%

NYSE:TDW
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Despite an already strong run, Tidewater Inc. (NYSE:TDW) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 58%.

Following the firm bounce in price, given around half the companies in the United States' Energy Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.8x, you may consider Tidewater as a stock to avoid entirely with its 4.2x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Tidewater

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:TDW Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 5th 2024

What Does Tidewater's Recent Performance Look Like?

Tidewater certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Tidewater.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Tidewater's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 56%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 154% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 21% per annum during the coming three years according to the six analysts following the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 8.6% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this information, we can see why Tidewater is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Tidewater's P/S?

Shares in Tidewater have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Tidewater's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Tidewater (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Tidewater is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.