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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Talos Energy Inc.'s (NYSE:TALO) Low P/S
With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x Talos Energy Inc. (NYSE:TALO) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Oil and Gas companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.9x and even P/S higher than 4x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for Talos Energy
What Does Talos Energy's Recent Performance Look Like?
With its revenue growth in positive territory compared to the declining revenue of most other companies, Talos Energy has been doing quite well of late. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the industry, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Talos Energy will be hoping that this isn't the case and the company continues to beat out the industry.
Keen to find out how analysts think Talos Energy's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Talos Energy would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 24% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 100% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 2.4% per annum as estimated by the eleven analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 37% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this information, we can see why Talos Energy is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Final Word
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Talos Energy's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Talos Energy that we have uncovered.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Talos Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:TALO
Talos Energy
Through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the United States and Mexico.
Moderate with imperfect balance sheet.