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Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For SandRidge Energy, Inc.'s (NYSE:SD) Shares
When close to half the companies in the Oil and Gas industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.1x, you may consider SandRidge Energy, Inc. (NYSE:SD) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 3.7x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
View our latest analysis for SandRidge Energy
How Has SandRidge Energy Performed Recently?
Recent times haven't been great for SandRidge Energy as its revenue has been falling quicker than most other companies. Perhaps the market is predicting a change in fortunes for the company and is expecting them to blow past the rest of the industry, elevating the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on SandRidge Energy.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For SandRidge Energy?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as SandRidge Energy's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 37%. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with revenue growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 27% during the coming year according to the sole analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 66% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in consideration, we believe it doesn't make sense that SandRidge Energy's P/S is outpacing its industry peers. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Bottom Line On SandRidge Energy's P/S
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've concluded that SandRidge Energy currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with SandRidge Energy.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:SD
SandRidge Energy
Engages in the acquisition, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the United States Mid-Continent.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.