Stock Analysis

Kinder Morgan's (NYSE:KMI) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

NYSE:KMI
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If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. With that in mind, we've noticed some promising trends at Kinder Morgan (NYSE:KMI) so let's look a bit deeper.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Kinder Morgan, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.066 = US$4.2b ÷ (US$69b - US$4.8b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

Thus, Kinder Morgan has an ROCE of 6.6%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Oil and Gas industry average of 22%.

Check out our latest analysis for Kinder Morgan

roce
NYSE:KMI Return on Capital Employed May 11th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Kinder Morgan compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Kinder Morgan.

SWOT Analysis for Kinder Morgan

Strength
  • Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
  • Dividend is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the market.
Weakness
  • Interest payments on debt are not well covered.
  • Expensive based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow for the next 3 years.
Threat
  • Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow.
  • Dividends are not covered by earnings.
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow slower than the American market.

So How Is Kinder Morgan's ROCE Trending?

Kinder Morgan is showing promise given that its ROCE is trending up and to the right. The figures show that over the last five years, ROCE has grown 37% whilst employing roughly the same amount of capital. So it's likely that the business is now reaping the full benefits of its past investments, since the capital employed hasn't changed considerably. It's worth looking deeper into this though because while it's great that the business is more efficient, it might also mean that going forward the areas to invest internally for the organic growth are lacking.

Our Take On Kinder Morgan's ROCE

To bring it all together, Kinder Morgan has done well to increase the returns it's generating from its capital employed. Considering the stock has delivered 38% to its stockholders over the last five years, it may be fair to think that investors aren't fully aware of the promising trends yet. Given that, we'd look further into this stock in case it has more traits that could make it multiply in the long term.

On a final note, we found 3 warning signs for Kinder Morgan (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kinder Morgan might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.