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The Price Is Right For Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. (NYSE:KGS) Even After Diving 27%
Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. (NYSE:KGS) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 27% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 37%, which is great even in a bull market.
Although its price has dipped substantially, Kodiak Gas Services' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 63.2x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 17x and even P/E's below 10x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Kodiak Gas Services has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Check out our latest analysis for Kodiak Gas Services
How Is Kodiak Gas Services' Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Kodiak Gas Services would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 104%. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 82% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 69% each year as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 11% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why Kodiak Gas Services is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
Kodiak Gas Services' shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Kodiak Gas Services maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Kodiak Gas Services (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:KGS
Kodiak Gas Services
Operates contract compression infrastructure for customers in the oil and gas industry in the United States.
Reasonable growth potential slight.