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Shareholders Would Enjoy A Repeat Of Hess' (NYSE:HES) Recent Growth In Returns
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Speaking of which, we noticed some great changes in Hess' (NYSE:HES) returns on capital, so let's have a look.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Hess:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.20 = US$3.9b ÷ (US$22b - US$2.3b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).
Therefore, Hess has an ROCE of 20%. On its own, that's a very good return and it's on par with the returns earned by companies in a similar industry.
View our latest analysis for Hess
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Hess compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Hess here for free.
SWOT Analysis for Hess
- Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
- Debt is well covered by earnings and cashflows.
- Dividends are covered by earnings and cash flows.
- Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Oil and Gas market.
- Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the American market.
- Current share price is below our estimate of fair value.
- Annual revenue is forecast to grow slower than the American market.
The Trend Of ROCE
We're delighted to see that Hess is reaping rewards from its investments and has now broken into profitability. The company now earns 20% on its capital, because five years ago it was incurring losses. While returns have increased, the amount of capital employed by Hess has remained flat over the period. So while we're happy that the business is more efficient, just keep in mind that could mean that going forward the business is lacking areas to invest internally for growth. After all, a company can only become a long term multi-bagger if it continually reinvests in itself at high rates of return.
The Bottom Line
As discussed above, Hess appears to be getting more proficient at generating returns since capital employed has remained flat but earnings (before interest and tax) are up. And a remarkable 132% total return over the last five years tells us that investors are expecting more good things to come in the future. With that being said, we still think the promising fundamentals mean the company deserves some further due diligence.
If you want to continue researching Hess, you might be interested to know about the 2 warning signs that our analysis has discovered.
If you'd like to see other companies earning high returns, check out our free list of companies earning high returns with solid balance sheets here.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hess might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:HES
Hess
An exploration and production company, explores, develops, produces, purchases, transports, and sells crude oil, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and natural gas.
Outstanding track record average dividend payer.