Stock Analysis

Hess (NYSE:HES) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

NYSE:HES
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Hess Corporation (NYSE:HES) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Hess

What Is Hess's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Hess had US$8.31b in debt in September 2022; about the same as the year before. However, it also had US$2.38b in cash, and so its net debt is US$5.92b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:HES Debt to Equity History January 25th 2023

How Healthy Is Hess' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hess had liabilities of US$2.31b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$11.1b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$2.38b as well as receivables valued at US$1.38b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$9.69b.

Hess has a very large market capitalization of US$47.2b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

With net debt sitting at just 1.1 times EBITDA, Hess is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 7.6 times the interest expense over the last year. It was also good to see that despite losing money on the EBIT line last year, Hess turned things around in the last 12 months, delivering and EBIT of US$3.7b. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hess's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent year, Hess recorded free cash flow of 31% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Both Hess's ability to handle its debt, based on its EBITDA, and its interest cover gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. On the other hand, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow makes us a little less comfortable about its debt. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Hess's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Hess that you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hess might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.