Did FTSE All-World Index Removal Just Shift Hess' (HES) Investment Narrative?

Simply Wall St
  • On July 23, 2025, Hess Corporation (NYSE:HES) was removed as a constituent from the FTSE All-World Index, a widely tracked global equity benchmark.
  • This index removal may prompt significant trading adjustments, especially by index-tracking funds and institutional investors managing portfolios aligned with benchmark indices.
  • We'll examine how Hess's removal from the index could impact its visibility to institutional investors and shape the company's investment narrative.

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What Is Hess' Investment Narrative?

For Hess shareholders, the big-picture story has shifted now that the company is no longer a constituent of major benchmark indices such as the FTSE All-World. Previously, the main catalysts and risks centered around the finalization of the Chevron merger, steady production guidance, and dividend reliability, with financial results showing falling revenue and earnings but still maintaining positive net income and high quality earnings. The index removals, occurring immediately after the merger, could prompt trading by index-tracking funds but are now largely a formality, aligning with Hess’s change in ownership status. In the short term, this likely doesn't affect core catalysts, namely integration progress with Chevron and quarterly results, but may limit visibility to certain institutional investors. Existing risks, such as the lack of share buybacks, high debt levels, and elevated valuation multiples versus industry peers, remain at the forefront. Institutional demand and broader market recognition could diminish, but the fundamentals driving Hess’s underlying performance persist.

But could reduced index visibility amplify existing risks for remaining retail shareholders? Despite retreating, Hess' shares might still be trading above their fair value and there could be some more downside. Discover how much.

Exploring Other Perspectives

HES Community Fair Values as at Aug 2025
Five individual estimates from the Simply Wall St Community put Hess's fair value between US$140.91 and a very large US$720.50. While some see substantial upside, keep in mind the recent index removals could recalibrate shareholder priorities and the investment story. Continuing to check these alternative views is important if you want a full picture.

Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Hess - why the stock might be worth over 4x more than the current price!

Build Your Own Hess Narrative

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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