Stock Analysis

Is Gulfport Energy (NYSE:GPOR) Using Too Much Debt?

NYSE:GPOR
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Gulfport Energy Corporation (NYSE:GPOR) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Gulfport Energy

How Much Debt Does Gulfport Energy Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Gulfport Energy had debt of US$679.5m, up from US$648.3m in one year. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:GPOR Debt to Equity History October 4th 2024

How Healthy Is Gulfport Energy's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Gulfport Energy had liabilities of US$341.7m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$732.8m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$1.23m as well as receivables valued at US$115.6m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$957.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Gulfport Energy has a market capitalization of US$2.71b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While Gulfport Energy's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.92 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 6.9 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. In fact Gulfport Energy's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 70% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Gulfport Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last two years, Gulfport Energy created free cash flow amounting to 18% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say Gulfport Energy's EBIT growth rate was disappointing. But on the bright side, its net debt to EBITDA is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Gulfport Energy's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Gulfport Energy (2 are a bit concerning) you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.