Did New Data Center Gas Deals and Pipeline Expansion Just Shift Energy Transfer's (ET) Investment Narrative?

• In recent months, Energy Transfer has moved ahead with expanding its Transwestern Pipeline and signed long-term natural gas supply agreements with major data center operators such as Oracle and Fermi America, aiming to support rising power demand in the U.S. Southwest.
• These moves build on the company’s extensive, mostly fee-based pipeline network and growing distribution payouts, reinforcing its role as an income-oriented midstream operator with substantial contracted cash flow.
• Next, we’ll examine how these new data center gas contracts and pipeline expansion influence Energy Transfer’s broader investment narrative and risks.

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Energy Transfer Investment Narrative Recap

To own Energy Transfer, you have to believe its fee-based midstream network and data center-linked gas demand can support durable cash flows and ongoing distributions, despite volume uncertainty in key basins. The latest Transwestern expansion and data center contracts modestly support the near term growth catalyst of filling new projects with long-term commitments, while the biggest current risk remains execution and permitting around its larger, multi-year pipeline and LNG buildout.

Among recent developments, the company’s continued quarterly distribution increases in 2025 stand out alongside the new gas contracts, because they show management allocating growing cash flows back to unitholders while still funding a multi billion dollar growth pipeline. For investors focused on Energy Transfer’s income story, this combination of higher distributions and contracted infrastructure tied to power and data center demand goes straight to the heart of the investment case, but it also raises questions about how resilient payouts are if...

Read the full narrative on Energy Transfer (it's free!)

Energy Transfer's narrative projects $99.8 billion revenue and $6.7 billion earnings by 2028.

Uncover how Energy Transfer's forecasts yield a $21.67 fair value, a 29% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

Twenty three members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see Energy Transfer’s fair value anywhere between US$13.78 and US$43.57, clustering in several very different price bands. When you set those views against the company’s heavy reliance on large, long lead time pipeline and LNG projects, it underlines why you may want to compare multiple assumptions about execution risk and long term utilization before deciding where you stand.

Explore 23 other fair value estimates on Energy Transfer - why the stock might be worth 18% less than the current price!

Build Your Own Energy Transfer Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

• A great starting point for your Energy Transfer research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
• Our free Energy Transfer research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Energy Transfer's overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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