Stock Analysis

How Share Buybacks and Distribution Hike Could Influence Enterprise Products Partners’ (EPD) Investment Story

  • In the past quarter, Enterprise Products Partners completed an US$80 million share buyback and affirmed a third-quarter 2025 distribution of US$0.545 per unit, marking a 3.8% increase over the prior year’s payout.
  • This continued pattern of buybacks and rising distributions highlights the company’s focus on returning capital to unitholders amid a phase of significant project expansion and acquisitions.
  • We'll explore how the recent distribution increase and buyback completion could shift Enterprise Products Partners' investment narrative and future outlook.

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Enterprise Products Partners Investment Narrative Recap

If you’re considering Enterprise Products Partners as a potential holding, the central belief to weigh is whether the company’s aggressive buildout of new processing capacity and infrastructure will drive sustainable earnings and distribution growth. The recent US$80 million buyback and 3.8% distribution increase reinforce EPD’s commitment to returning capital, but do not appear to materially shift the main short term catalyst, the operational ramp-up from $6 billion in expansion projects. The biggest risk continues to be operational disruptions or unplanned downtime, as previously seen at the PDH 1 facility, which could overshadow project benefits if repeated.

Of the latest announcements, the completed share buyback is most relevant. While capital return via buybacks adds value for current unitholders, it’s ultimately the success of ongoing project execution and incremental cash flow from recent acquisitions, such as the natural gas gathering affiliate from Occidental Petroleum, that could most directly influence how the near term catalysts play out.

However, investors should also be mindful that even with steady buybacks, unplanned plant outages and unexpected downtime could quickly...

Read the full narrative on Enterprise Products Partners (it's free!)

Enterprise Products Partners is projected to reach $53.5 billion in revenue and $6.6 billion in earnings by 2028. This reflects a 0.8% annual decline in revenue, while earnings are expected to increase by $0.8 billion from the current $5.8 billion.

Uncover how Enterprise Products Partners' forecasts yield a $35.89 fair value, a 17% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

EPD Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
EPD Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

Fair value estimates from 9 members of the Simply Wall St Community range from US$29.42 to US$63.35 per unit. While opinions are clearly divided, keep in mind that future gains for EPD may hinge on translating new capacity investments into higher revenue amid ongoing operational risks.

Explore 9 other fair value estimates on Enterprise Products Partners - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About NYSE:EPD

Enterprise Products Partners

Provides midstream energy services to producers and consumers of natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), crude oil, petrochemicals, and refined products.

Undervalued established dividend payer.

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