Stock Analysis

News Flash: Analysts Just Made A Notable Upgrade To Their Delek US Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:DK) Forecasts

NYSE:DK
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Delek US Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:DK) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial upgrades to this year's statutory forecasts. The revenue forecast for this year has experienced a facelift, with analysts now much more optimistic on its sales pipeline.

Following the upgrade, the current consensus from Delek US Holdings' ten analysts is for revenues of US$16b in 2022 which - if met - would reflect a major 23% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Prior to the latest estimates, the analysts were forecasting revenues of US$13b in 2022. The consensus has definitely become more optimistic, showing a chunky increase in revenue forecasts.

View our latest analysis for Delek US Holdings

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NYSE:DK Earnings and Revenue Growth May 12th 2022

The consensus price target rose 9.1% to US$26.57, with the analysts clearly more optimistic about Delek US Holdings' prospects following this update. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. The most optimistic Delek US Holdings analyst has a price target of US$37.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$8.00. With such a wide range in price targets, the analysts are almost certainly betting on widely diverse outcomes for the underlying business. With this in mind, we wouldn't rely too heavily on the consensus price target, as it is just an average and analysts clearly have some deeply divergent views on the business.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The analysts are definitely expecting Delek US Holdings' growth to accelerate, with the forecast 32% annualised growth to the end of 2022 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 8.3% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue shrink 3.1% per year. It seems obvious that as part of the brighter growth outlook, Delek US Holdings is expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away from this upgrade is that analysts lifted their revenue estimates for this year. They're also forecasting for revenues to perform better than companies in the wider market. There was also an increase in the price target, suggesting that there is more optimism baked into the forecasts than there was previously. Seeing the dramatic upgrade to this year's forecasts, it might be time to take another look at Delek US Holdings.

It's great to see the analysts upgrading their estimates, but the biggest highlight to us is that the business is expected to become profitable in the foreseeable future. You can learn more about these forecasts, for free on our platform here.

Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.