Stock Analysis

Delek US Holdings' (NYSE:DK) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

NYSE:DK
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Delek US Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:DK) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to $0.235 on 21st of August. Even though the dividend went up, the yield is still quite low at only 3.3%.

Check out our latest analysis for Delek US Holdings

Delek US Holdings' Distributions May Be Difficult To Sustain

If it is predictable over a long period, even low dividend yields can be attractive. Delek US Holdings is unprofitable despite paying a dividend, and it is paying out 484% of its free cash flow. These payout levels would generally be quite difficult to keep up.

Analysts expect the EPS to grow by 48.5% over the next 12 months. While it is good to see income moving in the right direction, it still looks like the company won't achieve profitability. Unless this happens fairly soon, the dividend could start to come under pressure.

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NYSE:DK Historic Dividend August 10th 2023

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2013, the dividend has gone from $0.79 total annually to $0.94. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 1.8% a year over that time. It's encouraging to see some dividend growth, but the dividend has been cut at least once, and the size of the cut would eliminate most of the growth anyway, which makes this less attractive as an income investment.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Earnings per share has been sinking by 19% over the last five years. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.

Delek US Holdings' Dividend Doesn't Look Great

Overall, while the dividend being raised can be good, there are some concerns about its long term sustainability. The company seems to be stretching itself a bit to make such big payments, but it doesn't appear they can be consistent over time. Considering all of these factors, we wouldn't rely on this dividend if we wanted to live on the income.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've picked out 3 warning signs for Delek US Holdings that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.