Does Insider Buying at HF Sinclair (DINO) Signal Management Conviction in Long-Term Growth Strategy?

• In the past year, HF Sinclair Corporation saw significant insider purchases and long-term earnings per share growth, even as it experienced a recent decrease in share price.
• Insider confidence paired with strong five-year earnings expansion suggests continued interest from stakeholders despite periods of lower short-term returns.
• We'll look at how insider buying could influence HF Sinclair's investment narrative and outlook for operational and financial improvements.

Uncover the next big thing with financially sound penny stocks that balance risk and reward.

HF Sinclair Investment Narrative Recap

To be a shareholder in HF Sinclair today, you’d need to believe the company can successfully ride out volatility in refining and midstream margins by executing on its operational and financial improvement plans. While insider buying and long-term earnings per share growth reinforce stakeholder confidence, the recent news about price movements does not meaningfully affect the short-term catalyst of improving refining margins or the most pressing risk: persistent margin and volume pressures in the core refining business.

Amidst the insider activity, HF Sinclair’s May 2025 earnings announcement stood out as it highlighted weaker sales year-over-year and a modest net loss. This drop underscores the ongoing margin headwinds and lower volumes facing the company, directly tying back to the largest near-term risk and reinforcing why earnings momentum remains the key catalyst for any change in sentiment.

By contrast, investors should be aware the pressure on refining margins and volumes means...

Read the full narrative on HF Sinclair (it's free!)

HF Sinclair's narrative projects $27.6 billion revenue and $826.7 million earnings by 2028. This requires a -0.4% yearly revenue decline and a $969.7 million increase in earnings from the current -$143.0 million.

Uncover how HF Sinclair's forecasts yield a $48.75 fair value, a 8% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

Fair value estimates from 7 Simply Wall St Community members span from US$43.36 to US$98.48 per share, with opinions clustering across a broad spectrum. Many see operational execution as central to future returns, especially as refining segment pressures remain front and center.

Explore 7 other fair value estimates on HF Sinclair - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!

Build Your Own HF Sinclair Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

• A great starting point for your HF Sinclair research is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
• Our free HF Sinclair research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate HF Sinclair's overall financial health at a glance.

Ready For A Different Approach?

Opportunities like this don't last. These are today's most promising picks. Check them out now:

• The best AI stocks today may lie beyond giants like Nvidia and Microsoft. Find the next big opportunity with these 19 smaller AI-focused companies with strong growth potential through early-stage innovation in machine learning, automation, and data intelligence that could fund your retirement.
• Trump's oil boom is here - pipelines are primed to profit. Discover the 22 US stocks riding the wave.
• Find companies with promising cash flow potential yet trading below their fair value.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com