Stock Analysis

Here's Why We Think Comstock Resources (NYSE:CRK) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

NYSE:CRK
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The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even companies that have no revenue, no profit, and a record of falling short, can manage to find investors. But the reality is that when a company loses money each year, for long enough, its investors will usually take their share of those losses. A loss-making company is yet to prove itself with profit, and eventually the inflow of external capital may dry up.

Despite being in the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, many investors still adopt a more traditional strategy; buying shares in profitable companies like Comstock Resources (NYSE:CRK). Even if this company is fairly valued by the market, investors would agree that generating consistent profits will continue to provide Comstock Resources with the means to add long-term value to shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Comstock Resources

How Fast Is Comstock Resources Growing Its Earnings Per Share?

Over the last three years, Comstock Resources has grown earnings per share (EPS) at as impressive rate from a relatively low point, resulting in a three year percentage growth rate that isn't particularly indicative of expected future performance. So it would be better to isolate the growth rate over the last year for our analysis. Outstandingly, Comstock Resources' EPS shot from US$1.38 to US$3.42, over the last year. It's not often a company can achieve year-on-year growth of 149%.

It's often helpful to take a look at earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins, as well as revenue growth, to get another take on the quality of the company's growth. On the revenue front, Comstock Resources has done well over the past year, growing revenue by 7.8% to US$2.9b but EBIT margin figures were less stellar, seeing a decline over the last 12 months. So it seems the future may hold further growth, especially if EBIT margins can remain steady.

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NYSE:CRK Earnings and Revenue History August 5th 2023

The trick, as an investor, is to find companies that are going to perform well in the future, not just in the past. While crystal balls don't exist, you can check our visualization of consensus analyst forecasts for Comstock Resources' future EPS 100% free.

Are Comstock Resources Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Investors are always searching for a vote of confidence in the companies they hold and insider buying is one of the key indicators for optimism on the market. That's because insider buying often indicates that those closest to the company have confidence that the share price will perform well. However, small purchases are not always indicative of conviction, and insiders don't always get it right.

It's pleasing to note that insiders spent US$4.0m buying Comstock Resources shares, over the last year, without reporting any share sales whatsoever. Buying like that is a fantastic look for the company and should rouse the market in anticipation for the future. It is also worth noting that it was Chairman of the Board of Directors & CEO Miles Allison who made the biggest single purchase, worth US$975k, paying US$19.50 per share.

On top of the insider buying, it's good to see that Comstock Resources insiders have a valuable investment in the business. With a whopping US$60m worth of shares as a group, insiders have plenty riding on the company's success. That's certainly enough to let shareholders know that management will be very focussed on long term growth.

Does Comstock Resources Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Comstock Resources' earnings per share growth have been climbing higher at an appreciable rate. Just as heartening; insiders both own and are buying more stock. This quick rundown suggests that the business may be of good quality, and also at an inflection point, so maybe Comstock Resources deserves timely attention. Even so, be aware that Comstock Resources is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. So if you like the sound of Comstock Resources, you'll probably love this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Comstock Resources is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.