See our latest analysis for ConocoPhillips.
After a steady climb in recent years, ConocoPhillips shares have lost momentum in 2024 as risk perceptions shift. A 1-year total shareholder return of -16% highlights fading enthusiasm despite robust long-term gains.
If energy’s shifting tides have you thinking about new opportunities, now might be the perfect chance to discover fast growing stocks with high insider ownership
With shares trading well below analyst targets, is ConocoPhillips now undervalued and presenting a potential buying opportunity, or is the market accurately pricing in what the future could hold for this energy giant?
Most Popular Narrative: 23.7% Undervalued
The narrative suggests ConocoPhillips could be worth far more than its last close, positioning the current share price as a potential bargain for those who buy into the methodology. But what exactly underpins this outlook?
The company's expanding LNG portfolio and progress on large-scale liquefaction projects (notably in Qatar, Port Arthur, and Willow) are set to capture significant market share from robust global gas demand, especially as natural gas solidifies its role as a "transition fuel." These projects are expected to drive a substantial free cash flow inflection and topline revenue expansion through 2029.
Curious which global initiatives and projected financial leaps could elevate this value? The forecast relies on ambitious operational transformation and future profits that break the sector mold. Unlock the key levers behind the narrative's bold upside to see what is fueling this valuation.
Result: Fair Value of $113.54 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, investors should note that execution delays and ongoing volatility in oil prices could dampen future returns. These factors pose real challenges for this optimistic scenario.
Find out about the key risks to this ConocoPhillips narrative.
Build Your Own ConocoPhillips Narrative
If this perspective does not resonate or you prefer to chart your own course, you can dive into the numbers and craft your own insight in under three minutes. Do it your way
A great starting point for your ConocoPhillips research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if ConocoPhillips might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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