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Canadian Natural Resources LimitedNYSE:CNQ Stock Report

Market Cap US$99.3b
Share Price
US$47.66
US$51.14
6.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y53.8%
7D4.0%
1D
Portfolio Value
View

Canadian Natural Resources Limited

NYSE:CNQ Stock Report

Market Cap: US$99.3b

Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ) Stock Overview

Engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, production, marketing, and sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) in Western Canada, the United Kingdom sector of the North Sea, and Offshore Africa. More details

CNQ fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation4/6
Future Growth0/6
Past Performance5/6
Financial Health4/6
Dividends5/6

CNQ Community Fair Values

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Canadian Natural Resources Limited Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Canadian Natural Resources
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceCA$47.66
52 Week HighCA$51.34
52 Week LowCA$29.30
Beta0.87
1 Month Change-0.40%
3 Month Change2.92%
1 Year Change53.79%
3 Year Change69.67%
5 Year Change157.83%
Change since IPO2,635.74%

Recent News & Updates

Seeking Alpha May 19

Canadian Natural Resources: Earnings Revealed Massive Rewards Via Buybacks

Summary Canadian Natural Resources is positioned for significant shareholder rewards as elevated oil prices drive robust free cash flow. Despite a quieter Q1 with EPS dropping to $0.65 and FCF down nearly $1 billion, production increased 5% year over year. Management targets 100% FCF return to shareholders once net debt falls below $13 billion, supported by accelerated share buybacks in Q2. Forward returns are estimated at 13.6% through 2027 and 12% annually to 2031, with buybacks enhancing per-share value growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha May 19

Canadian Natural Resources: Earnings Revealed Massive Rewards Via Buybacks

Summary Canadian Natural Resources is positioned for significant shareholder rewards as elevated oil prices drive robust free cash flow. Despite a quieter Q1 with EPS dropping to $0.65 and FCF down nearly $1 billion, production increased 5% year over year. Management targets 100% FCF return to shareholders once net debt falls below $13 billion, supported by accelerated share buybacks in Q2. Forward returns are estimated at 13.6% through 2027 and 12% annually to 2031, with buybacks enhancing per-share value growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Apr 28

Canadian Natural Resource: With 33 Years Of Reserves And Output Expansion, Is The Company Undervalued?

Summary The company has proven reserves for 33 years. Consequently, CNQ will save financial resources in business acquisitions for several years. CNQ expects to increase its oil and gas production by 12.44% in 2025, indicating that the company will expand its operations. The conservative DCF model suggests that the company is overvalued by 19.92%, while the neutral DCF model indicates that CNQ experienced an undervaluation of 31.97%. In the last four years, CNQ paid, on average, a 4.56% dividend yield. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 26

Canadian Natural Resources Stands Out In A Trade War

Summary Canadian Natural Resources has been impacted by trade war concerns and weak prices but reported strong 4Q earnings, indicating potential for high shareholder returns. The company's robust reserves and financial results support a positive investment outlook. Despite market challenges, Canadian Natural Resources is positioned to deliver substantial shareholder value. Investors should consider the risks but recognize the company's strong fundamentals and future potential. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 02

Canadian Natural Resources: Tariff Risk Largely Mitigated By Crashing Canadian Dollar

Summary Tariffs on Canadian oil may raise US refinery costs and gasoline prices, but the low CAD-USD exchange rate mitigates the impact. CNQ's valuation is attractive, with a forward P/E of 11.1X, EV/EBITDA of 5.6X, and a high dividend yield of 5.5%. Despite tariff risks, CNQ's diversified production and strategic investments position it well for long-term growth, especially if geopolitical tensions rise. CNQ's recent declines present a buying opportunity for long-term investors, as tariffs are likely a temporary "lose-lose" situation for both the US and Canadian economies. If Tariffs go into effect and remain, I expect the CAD-USD will fall by over 10%, offsetting the impact on Canadian energy exporters. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 24

Canadian Natural Resources: Tariffs And Bearish Technicals Make It A Strong Sell

Summary CNQ stock is a strong sell due to net bearish technicals, overvaluation, and imminent political headwinds from Trump's tariffs on Canadian energy. The stock's chart shows a strong downtrend with more resistance levels than support, indicating further downside potential. Recent earnings reveal weak financial performance with negative revenue and EPS growth, yet P/S and P/E ratios remain unjustifiably high. Trump's impending 25% tariffs on Canadian energy exports will severely impact CNQ, exacerbating its already precarious financial situation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 14

Canadian Natural Resources: Excellent Growth In 2025

Summary Canadian Natural Resources Limited will achieve double-digit production growth in 2025 through M&A and organic investments, making it a standout in the low-growth energy sector. Political changes in the US and Canada could favorably impact Canadian Natural Resources, potentially boosting revenues and reducing operational risks. The company’s valuation is highly attractive, with a forward EV/EBITDA multiple under 6 and a dividend yield around 5%, making it a compelling buy. Strong free cash flow generation and shareholder-friendly policies, including dividends and buybacks, enhance the investment appeal of Canadian Natural Resources. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 26

Canadian Natural Resources: How We Would Play 2025

Summary Canadian Natural Resources Limited has consistently performed well, but its post-pandemic valuation was too high for our taste. On the previous coverage, we had suggested a covered call as an alternative to paying up for the company. We analyze that trade and the current valuations. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 10

Canadian Natural Resources: Pullback Is A Golden Opportunity For Value Investors

Summary CNQ offers a 5% dividend yield, supported by a robust asset base, consistent production growth, and disciplined cost management, making it attractive for income and value investors. Strategic acquisitions, including Chevron's interests in the Athabasca Oil Sands Project and the Duvernay play, position CNQ for sustainable cash flow and near-term growth. With a 25-year streak of dividend increases, a low debt-to-EBITDA ratio, and a forward PE below its historical average, CNQ is attractively valued. Despite near-term risks like commodity price volatility and regulatory challenges, CNQ's diversified production and expansion strategies make it a resilient pick for long-term investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 26

Canadian Natural Resources: Prioritizing Shareholder Value

Summary CNQ's low-cost, efficient operations and strong asset base ensure best-in-class profitability and disciplined capital allocation, driving growth and shareholder value. CNQ's robust financial position, low leverage, and ample liquidity maintain investment-grade credit ratings, enabling strategic investments and acquisitions. CNQ offers a 4.62% forward dividend yield with a 22.7% five-year dividend CAGR, making it ideal for dividend growth investors. Despite the rise of renewable energy, fossil fuels will dominate for decades, positioning CNQ well in the global energy mix. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 08

Canadian Natural Resources Q3: Another Solid Quarter

Summary Canadian Natural Resources reported another quarter of solid results, with adjusted funds flow of C$3.9 billion. Canadian Natural reported oil sands operating costs of $15.16/bo. With an all-in, dividend-covered breakeven in the low $40s WTI, its dividends remain secure. Increased contracted crude transport capacity, planned organic growth, and recent Chevron acquisitions pave the way for future production growth. The recent pullback in Canadian Natural's share price amid weak oil prices gives dividend growth investors a chance to add to their positions. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 31

Top Pick Alert: Why I Just Became Even More Bullish On Canadian Natural Resources

Summary Canadian Natural Resources Limited offers standout value with vast, low-cost reserves, efficient oil sands operations, and a 25-year dividend growth streak for shareholders. The Chevron acquisition bolsters CNQ’s production, adding high-quality assets and nearly 10% output growth while securing long-term, low-cost oil supply. Though the payout drops to 60%, CNQ’s enhanced cash flow makes up for it. Once debt reduces, investors should see 100% free cash flow returns again. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 19

Canadian Natural Resources Is Growing Its Assets

Summary Canadian Natural Resources' $6.5 billion acquisition of Chevron's Canadian assets enhances its production capacity and aligns well with existing operations, ensuring long-term growth. The acquisition, funded through cash, avoids dilution and strengthens shareholder returns, with 1.5 billion barrels of reserves and 122.5 thousand barrels/day production. The company boasts a diversified asset portfolio with substantial reserves, targeting significant production growth, supported by a stable $70/barrel WTI assumption. Despite potential risks from fluctuating oil prices, Canadian Natural Resources' strong balance sheet and nearly 5% dividend yield make it a valuable long-term investment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 09

New Acquisition Makes Canadian Natural Resources A Very Comfortable Hold

Summary Canadian Natural Resources' acquisition of Chevron's Alberta assets boosts production by 122,500 BOE/day, enhancing free cash flow and solidifying market position. The company’s new capital allocation policy prioritizes debt reduction, with 60% of free cash flow to shareholders until net debt hits $12 billion. Despite a higher P/E ratio, CNQ's strong dividend yield of 4.5% and superior net profit margin make it a valuable hold at current prices. Given current valuations, CNQ is a hold; a buy recommendation would require a higher discount and lower share price for better value. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Sep 06

Why Canadian Natural Resources Is A Dividend Goldmine

Summary Cyclical stocks like Canadian Natural Resources offer value, especially for patient retail investors who can buy when valuations are favorable. CNQ is appealing due to its large, long-life, low-decline oil sands reserves, resulting in lower maintenance costs and high free cash flows. CNQ achieved strong Q2 2024 production, including a 12% YoY increase in thermal production and a 16% YoY rise in synthetic crude oil production. With a strong reserve life of 44 years and ongoing operational efficiencies, CNQ is well-positioned for increased production and shareholder returns. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Aug 02

10% Return Yield At $80 WTI: Why Canadian Natural Remains My Favorite Oil Stock

Summary Canadian Natural Resources Limited outperformed its peers, benefiting from strong reserves and low-cost operations. Recent market weakness offers a buying opportunity. Canadian Natural Resources Limited has a proven reserve life of 33 years, low breakeven costs, and efficient oil sands production, ensuring stability and strong shareholder returns. Despite global economic fears, Canadian Natural Resources Limited's solid financials and commitment to dividends and buybacks make it a compelling investment for long-term growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jul 17

Canadian Natural Resources: One Of The Best Oil And Gas Yields

Summary Canadian Natural Resources Limited offers one of the strongest shareholder yields in the oil and gas industry, with substantial growth potential. Positive macro outlook for the Company due to firming oil prices, improved transportation capacity, and potential Fed rate cuts. CNQ is expected to report strong earnings, with revenue and earnings growth and high cash flow generation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jun 26

Canadian Natural Resources Advantage: Low Breakeven Costs, High Reserves, And Strong Shareholder Returns

Summary Canadian Natural Resources is the largest Canadian oil company with shares up 162% in the past five years. The company operates primarily in Canadian oil sands, has extensive reserves, and benefits from the Trans Mountain Pipeline expansion. With vast reserves, a low breakeven price, and a commitment to strong shareholder returns CNQ is a buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jun 12

Canadian Natural Resources: Rising Premium To Peer Group Points To Lower Relative Performance

Summary Now that supply has stagnated, I expect US oil output to falter due to low capital investment levels from most producers. With the Biden administration and OPEC creating a long-term oil price floor of ~$80 per barrel, exploration and development companies may have improved risk-reward profiles. My long-term favorite, Canadian Natural Resources, is starting to appear overvalued after rising despite no significant improvement in oil or natural gas prices. Although M&A hopes are high, investors may be better off in their cheaper peers, which now have room to raise their dividends considerably. Geopolitical issues in oil-producing areas and the political situation regarding the SPR reserve may cause more significant oil price fluctuations over the coming year. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha May 02

Canadian Natural Resources: My Top Pick For North American Oil And Gas

Summary Canadian Natural Resources is a top choice for oil and gas exposure, with deep reserves, low decline rates, and competitive breakeven prices. Canadian Natural Resources is committed to maximizing shareholder returns, distributing every penny of free cash flow, increasing dividends, and occasionally offering special dividends. The completion of the Trans Mountain pipeline project is expected to improve takeaway capacity and reduce the price difference between WCS and WTI, benefiting Canadian producers like CNQ. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Apr 06

Canadian Natural Resources: Expect Huge Shareholder Returns

Summary Canadian Natural Resources has achieved its net debt target, allowing the company to return more cash to its owners. Oil prices have risen considerably in recent months, benefiting Canadian Natural Resources and other oil producers. The start-up of the Trans Mountain pipeline will have a positive impact on Canadian oil prices, benefiting Canadian Natural Resources. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 22

Canadian Natural Resources: Fully Priced, Good Time To Consider Switching

Summary Canadian Natural Resources is the largest and highest-quality Canadian O&G producer, with a recent strong stock performance. CNQ recently achieved its debt target and switched to 100% FCF payout to shareholders via dividends and buybacks. After the stock run-up, CNQ became one of the few fully priced names in the Canadian O&G space. With the higher stock price, there is strong insider selling, sending a bad signal to the market. There are better opportunities with high-quality names in the Canadian O&G sector, which I believe will outperform CNQ in the next 3-5 years. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 07

Canadian Natural: Solid Performance, But Valuation Remains A Headwind

Summary Canadian Natural Resources Limited showed a strong operational performance and raised its dividend by 11% in Q3-2023. CNQ's budget for 2024 is $5.42 billion, with a focus on liquids growth and a 3-7% growth per share in production. The company has some wood to chop to get valuation in line with peers. We tell you how we would play it for the year ahead. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 12

A 12% Distribution Yield At $80 WTI Is Why I Sold Exxon To Buy Canadian Natural Resources

Summary I prefer to focus on finding buying opportunities rather than stocks to sell or avoid among the thousands of stock-listed companies in the world. I have shifted my investment from Exxon Mobil to Canadian Natural Resources due to the latter's better potential for shareholder value and strong position in the energy sector. Canadian Natural Resources has substantial proven reserves, low decline rates, and a commitment to returning cash to shareholders, making it a preferred choice over Exxon Mobil. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 04

Canadian Natural Resources: Dividend Increases And Share Buybacks Holding Up Valuation Despite Deteriorating Fundamentals

Summary Canadian Natural Resources has seen a significant increase in dividends and share repurchases in the past two years, surpassing previous levels. CNQ's stock has performed exceptionally well in 2023 despite declines in oil prices and the struggles of other Canadian oil peers. This divergence raises questions around CNQ's current valuation and we believe either the stock price may deteriorate in near term or the magnitude of dividend increases slows down. While investors who believe in increasing oil and gas prices should certainly have CNQ in their portfolio, long-horizon value investors may want to wait on the sidelines for a more opportune entry point. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 11

Canadian Natural Resources: 2024, The Year Of The Shareholder

Summary Canadian Natural Resources reported strong Q3 numbers with record production and an 11% dividend increase. The company has increased its base dividend for 24 straight years and is expected to continue rewarding shareholders as debt targets are achieved. The stock price has responded positively to tests and is setting higher highs and higher lows, making it a bullish investment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 04

>16% Yield Potential - Why I Believe Canadian Natural Is The Best Oil Stock Money Can Buy

Summary Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ) has seen a 6% increase in its stock price following strong earnings and a positive outlook. The company has the potential for special dividends and buybacks next year if oil prices remain elevated. I favor CNQ as an oil investment due to its strong operations, deep inventories, and emphasis on shareholder distributions. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Sep 25

18% Yield Potential At $100 Oil: Why Canadian Natural Is My Favorite Oil Play

Summary Oil prices are rallying faster than expected, with speculators increasing bullish positions on WTI and concerns rising about potential disruption to the U.S. economy. The International Energy Agency's prediction of a peak in oil demand before 2030 is unlikely, and OPEC expects oil demand growth until at least 2045. Canadian Natural Resources Limited is a top pick in the oil sector, with massive reserves, low breakeven prices, and a commitment to returning free cash flow to shareholders through special dividends. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Aug 04

Canadian Natural Resources Is One Of The Best Oil Stocks Money Can Buy

Summary Canadian Natural Resources is a top oil company with deep reserves, low breakeven prices, and a healthy balance sheet. CNQ aims to distribute excess free cash flow to shareholders through special dividends and buybacks, making it a great income vehicle. With the projected growth in oil prices and CNQ's undervaluation, there is tremendous potential for future gains. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Shareholder Returns

CNQUS Oil and GasUS Market
7D4.0%3.0%-0.1%
1Y53.8%35.0%26.3%

Return vs Industry: CNQ exceeded the US Oil and Gas industry which returned 34.4% over the past year.

Return vs Market: CNQ exceeded the US Market which returned 26.2% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is CNQ's price volatile compared to industry and market?
CNQ volatility
CNQ Average Weekly Movement5.0%
Oil and Gas Industry Average Movement6.2%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.6%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.1%

Stable Share Price: CNQ has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: CNQ's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
197310,750Scott Stauthwww.cnrl.com

Canadian Natural Resources Limited engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, production, marketing, and sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) in Western Canada, the United Kingdom sector of the North Sea, and Offshore Africa. The company offers synthetic crude oil (SCO), mining bitumen, light and medium crude oil and NGLs, thermal bitumen, primary heavy crude oil and Pelican Lake heavy crude oil. Its midstream assets include two crude oil pipeline systems; and a 50% working interest in an 84-megawatt cogeneration plant at Primrose.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited Fundamentals Summary

How do Canadian Natural Resources's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
CNQ fundamental statistics
Market capUS$99.29b
Earnings (TTM)US$6.98b
Revenue (TTM)US$27.79b
14.2x
P/E Ratio
3.6x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
CNQ income statement (TTM)
RevenueCA$38.63b
Cost of RevenueCA$19.83b
Gross ProfitCA$18.80b
Other ExpensesCA$9.09b
EarningsCA$9.71b

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)4.67
Gross Margin48.67%
Net Profit Margin25.13%
Debt/Equity Ratio38.0%

How did CNQ perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

3.8%
Current Dividend Yield
51%
Payout Ratio

Does CNQ pay a reliable dividends?

See CNQ dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy CNQ by to receive an upcoming dividend?
Canadian Natural Resources dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateJun 18 2026
Dividend Pay DateJul 07 2026
Days until Ex dividend12 days
Days until Dividend pay date31 days

Does CNQ pay a reliable dividends?

See CNQ dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/04 15:13
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/04 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Canadian Natural Resources Limited is covered by 45 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Harshit GuptaAccountability Research Corporation
Patrick O'RourkeATB Cormark
Brent WatsonATB Cormark Historical (Cormark Securities)