Stock Analysis

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.'s (NYSE:AESI) Stock's On An Uptrend: Are Strong Financials Guiding The Market?

NYSE:AESI
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Most readers would already be aware that Atlas Energy Solutions' (NYSE:AESI) stock increased significantly by 6.7% over the past month. Given that the market rewards strong financials in the long-term, we wonder if that is the case in this instance. Specifically, we decided to study Atlas Energy Solutions' ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Atlas Energy Solutions

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) รท Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Atlas Energy Solutions is:

13% = US$134m รท US$1.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.13 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Atlas Energy Solutions' Earnings Growth And 13% ROE

To begin with, Atlas Energy Solutions seems to have a respectable ROE. Even when compared to the industry average of 13% the company's ROE looks quite decent. This certainly adds some context to Atlas Energy Solutions' exceptional 51% net income growth seen over the past five years. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

We then performed a comparison between Atlas Energy Solutions' net income growth with the industry, which revealed that the company's growth is similar to the average industry growth of 48% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:AESI Past Earnings Growth September 6th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Atlas Energy Solutions fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Atlas Energy Solutions Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Atlas Energy Solutions has a three-year median payout ratio of 29% (where it is retaining 71% of its income) which is not too low or not too high. So it seems that Atlas Energy Solutions is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees impressive growth in its earnings (discussed above) and pays a dividend that's well covered.

While Atlas Energy Solutions has been growing its earnings, it only recently started to pay dividends which likely means that the company decided to impress new and existing shareholders with a dividend. Looking at the current analyst consensus data, we can see that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 53% over the next three years. Still, forecasts suggest that Atlas Energy Solutions' future ROE will rise to 25% even though the the company's payout ratio is expected to rise. We presume that there could some other characteristics of the business that could be driving the anticipated growth in the company's ROE.

Conclusion

In total, we are pretty happy with Atlas Energy Solutions' performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. The latest industry analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to maintain its current growth rate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.