Stock Analysis

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From OPAL Fuels Inc.'s (NASDAQ:OPAL) 35% Share Price Climb

NasdaqCM:OPAL
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OPAL Fuels Inc. (NASDAQ:OPAL) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 35% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. But the last month did very little to improve the 60% share price decline over the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, OPAL Fuels' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Oil and Gas industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.5x and even P/S above 4x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

We've discovered 3 warning signs about OPAL Fuels. View them for free.

View our latest analysis for OPAL Fuels

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:OPAL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 6th 2025

What Does OPAL Fuels' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been advantageous for OPAL Fuels as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think OPAL Fuels' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, OPAL Fuels would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 17% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 81% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 18% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 6.6% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's peculiar that OPAL Fuels' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What Does OPAL Fuels' P/S Mean For Investors?

Despite OPAL Fuels' share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

A look at OPAL Fuels' revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. There could be some major risk factors that are placing downward pressure on the P/S ratio. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for OPAL Fuels (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqCM:OPAL

OPAL Fuels

Engages in the production and distribution of renewable natural gas (RNG) for use as a vehicle fuel for heavy and medium-duty trucking fleets throughout the United States.

Reasonable growth potential low.