Stock Analysis

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving New Fortress Energy Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NFE) 34% Price Drop

NasdaqGS:NFE
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the New Fortress Energy Inc. (NASDAQ:NFE) share price has dived 34% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 55% share price decline.

After such a large drop in price, New Fortress Energy may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.9x, since almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 18x and even P/E's higher than 32x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

New Fortress Energy certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for New Fortress Energy

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:NFE Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 10th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think New Fortress Energy's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

New Fortress Energy's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 333% gain to the company's bottom line. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 4.7% per annum during the coming three years according to the six analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 11% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

In light of this, it's understandable that New Fortress Energy's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

Shares in New Fortress Energy have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that New Fortress Energy maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for New Fortress Energy (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're unsure about the strength of New Fortress Energy's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if New Fortress Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.