Stock Analysis

Strategic LNG Partnerships With Industry Leaders Could Be a Game Changer for NextDecade (NEXT)

  • In recent developments, major players including TotalEnergies, Baker Hughes, and ConocoPhillips announced significant agreements and contracts with NextDecade for the Rio Grande LNG project in Texas, positioning the company as a central partner in expanding US LNG export capacity.
  • This collaboration marks a turning point for NextDecade, highlighting the increasing interest of established energy giants in the US LNG sector as global demand evolves.
  • We will now explore how these fresh partnerships and technology contracts could reshape NextDecade's investment narrative, especially with LNG export growth in focus.

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What Is NextDecade's Investment Narrative?

To own shares in NextDecade today, you would need conviction not just in the future of US LNG exports, but also in the company’s ability to bring the Rio Grande LNG project online, despite ongoing losses and a deep need for outside capital. The recent news of TotalEnergies, Baker Hughes, and ConocoPhillips forging fresh partnerships and supply deals with NextDecade is meaningful, as it adds heavyweight partners, potential operational expertise, and financial support, signaling greater confidence in moving Trains 4 and 5 toward final investment decisions. This might help address the company’s most critical short-term catalyst: securing enough commercial and financial backing for the next phases. At the same time, key risks still loom large, including a limited cash runway, a “going concern” warning from auditors, and legal challenges around construction and permitting. While the new agreements could ease some doubts, they don’t instantly erase uncertainties about financing, execution, or future profitability, especially given recent volatility and heavy share price declines. However, it’s the limited cash runway and “going concern” note that many investors might overlook.

NextDecade's share price has been on the slide but might be dropping deeper into value territory. Find out whether it's a bargain at this price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

NEXT Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
NEXT Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
The Simply Wall St Community offers four unique fair value estimates for NextDecade, ranging from US$2 to US$20 per share. Such wide divergence shows just how differently participants weigh the newfound partnerships against ongoing losses and formidable capital needs. If you’re seeking a variety of forecasts and open debate, exploring these opinions may provide new insights into the risks and opportunities ahead.

Explore 4 other fair value estimates on NextDecade - why the stock might be worth over 3x more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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