Stock Analysis
- United States
- /
- Oil and Gas
- /
- NasdaqGM:HPK
Investors Don't See Light At End Of HighPeak Energy, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:HPK) Tunnel
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may consider HighPeak Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:HPK) as an attractive investment with its 11.3x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, HighPeak Energy's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the dour earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for HighPeak Energy
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on HighPeak Energy.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as HighPeak Energy's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 13%. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 897% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 28% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 15%, which paints a poor picture.
With this information, we are not surprised that HighPeak Energy is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
The Bottom Line On HighPeak Energy's P/E
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that HighPeak Energy maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for HighPeak Energy that you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than HighPeak Energy. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if HighPeak Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGM:HPK
HighPeak Energy
An independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids reserves in the Permian Basin in West Texas and Eastern New Mexico.