Diamondback Energy, Inc.

NasdaqGS:FANG Stock Report

Market Cap: US$57.5b

Diamondback Energy Valuation

Is FANG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of FANG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: FANG ($200.97) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value ($501.08)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: FANG is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FANG?

Key metric: As FANG is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for FANG. This is calculated by dividing FANG's market cap by their current revenue.
What is FANG's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio3.9x
SalesUS$14.46b
Market CapUS$57.48b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does FANG's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for FANG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.1x
DVN Devon Energy
3.4x11.63%US$55.9b
EOG EOG Resources
3.2x-0.057%US$75.4b
EQT EQT
3.9x3.01%US$36.2b
VG Venture Global
2.2x14.50%US$34.8b
FANG Diamondback Energy
3.9x1.49%US$57.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: FANG is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.9x) compared to the peer average (3.1x).

Historical Price to Sales Ratio

Historical Price to Sales Ratio compares a stock's price to its sales over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does FANG's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

36 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PAA Plains All American Pipeline
0.4x4.31%US$16.46b
SUN Sunoco
0.3x11.15%US$9.85b
PAGP Plains GP Holdings
0.1x3.92%US$5.85b
PBF PBF Energy
0.2x3.15%US$4.98b
FANG 3.9xIndustry Avg. 2.1xNo. of Companies36PS01.63.24.86.48+
36 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: FANG is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.9x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (2.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FANG's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FANG PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3.9x
Fair PS Ratio4.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: FANG is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FANG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$200.97
US$231.93
+15.41%
8.40%US$277.00US$195.00n/a29
May ’27US$207.65
US$222.70
+7.25%
9.54%US$266.00US$190.00n/a30
Apr ’27US$190.62
US$210.00
+10.17%
11.07%US$266.00US$173.00n/a31
Mar ’27US$174.08
US$185.65
+6.64%
7.47%US$221.00US$164.00n/a31
Feb ’27US$163.95
US$181.54
+10.73%
7.96%US$218.00US$158.00n/a31
Jan ’27US$150.33
US$181.39
+20.66%
8.81%US$219.00US$143.00n/a31
Dec ’26US$156.16
US$179.68
+15.06%
8.66%US$219.00US$143.00n/a31
Nov ’26US$143.19
US$179.43
+25.31%
9.03%US$222.00US$143.00n/a30
Oct ’26US$143.54
US$181.83
+26.68%
9.92%US$222.00US$143.00n/a30
Sep ’26US$148.76
US$182.37
+22.59%
10.23%US$222.00US$143.00n/a30
Aug ’26US$146.14
US$183.20
+25.36%
10.95%US$228.00US$141.00n/a30
Jul ’26US$140.20
US$182.84
+30.42%
9.57%US$225.00US$142.00n/a31
Jun ’26US$134.55
US$181.62
+34.98%
9.78%US$225.00US$142.00n/a31
May ’26US$134.83
US$185.35
+37.47%
11.75%US$234.00US$145.00US$207.6529
Apr ’26US$160.87
US$204.14
+26.90%
10.43%US$240.00US$157.00US$190.6229
Mar ’26US$158.96
US$212.04
+33.39%
8.77%US$245.00US$171.12US$174.0830
Feb ’26US$164.36
US$211.13
+28.46%
9.01%US$256.00US$171.00US$163.9531
Jan ’26US$163.83
US$215.17
+31.34%
7.82%US$255.00US$171.00US$150.3329
Dec ’25US$177.59
US$216.46
+21.89%
8.37%US$255.00US$171.00US$156.1628
Nov ’25US$175.81
US$216.03
+22.88%
8.11%US$255.00US$176.00US$143.1929
Oct ’25US$177.52
US$217.93
+22.76%
11.58%US$286.00US$154.00US$143.5427
Sep ’25US$195.11
US$224.56
+15.09%
11.94%US$286.00US$154.00US$148.7627
Aug ’25US$198.22
US$223.85
+12.93%
12.50%US$286.00US$154.00US$146.1427
Jul ’25US$203.71
US$222.04
+9.00%
11.95%US$263.00US$154.00US$140.2027
Jun ’25US$199.26
US$222.12
+11.47%
12.10%US$263.00US$154.00US$134.5525
May ’25US$196.01
US$219.66
+12.06%
13.00%US$263.00US$154.00US$134.8326
US$231.93
Fair Value
13.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
29
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/21 12:01
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/21 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Diamondback Energy, Inc. is covered by 61 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jeanine WaiBarclays
Wei JiangBarclays
Jeanine WaiBarclays