Diamondback Energy, Inc.

NasdaqGS:FANG Stock Report

Market Cap: US$51.6b

Diamondback Energy Valuation

Is FANG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FANG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FANG ($176.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($281.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FANG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FANG?

Key metric: As FANG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FANG. This is calculated by dividing FANG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FANG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.1x
EarningsUS$3.20b
Market CapUS$51.57b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FANG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FANG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.5x
HES Hess
16.9x16.0%US$44.7b
EOG EOG Resources
10.6x-2.5%US$75.7b
PXD Pioneer Natural Resources
12.9x0.7%US$62.5b
TPL Texas Pacific Land
69.6xn/aUS$31.2b
FANG Diamondback Energy
16.1x10.7%US$51.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FANG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.1x) compared to the peer average (27.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FANG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum
0.09xn/aUS$10.27m
BYRO.F Byron Energy
0.03x-10.3%US$312.17k
USOP.Y U.S. Oil and Gas
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
FANG 16.1xIndustry Avg. 11.3xNo. of Companies15PE0612182430+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FANG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.1x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (11.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FANG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FANG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.1x
Fair PE Ratio15.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FANG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FANG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$176.60
US$216.46
+22.6%
8.3%US$255.00US$171.00n/a28
Nov ’25US$175.81
US$216.03
+22.9%
8.1%US$255.00US$176.00n/a29
Oct ’25US$177.52
US$217.93
+22.8%
11.6%US$286.00US$154.00n/a27
Sep ’25US$195.11
US$224.56
+15.1%
11.9%US$286.00US$154.00n/a27
Aug ’25US$198.22
US$223.85
+12.9%
12.5%US$286.00US$154.00n/a27
Jul ’25US$203.71
US$222.04
+9.0%
12.0%US$263.00US$154.00n/a27
Jun ’25US$199.26
US$222.12
+11.5%
12.1%US$263.00US$154.00n/a25
May ’25US$196.01
US$219.66
+12.1%
13.0%US$263.00US$154.00n/a26
Apr ’25US$199.45
US$201.60
+1.1%
10.2%US$250.00US$154.00n/a25
Mar ’25US$185.17
US$193.04
+4.3%
10.5%US$250.00US$154.00n/a26
Feb ’25US$152.72
US$178.30
+16.7%
10.9%US$240.00US$129.00n/a30
Jan ’25US$155.08
US$181.33
+16.9%
9.7%US$225.00US$147.00n/a30
Dec ’24US$154.27
US$185.47
+20.2%
11.2%US$235.00US$147.00n/a30
Nov ’24US$159.41
US$181.86
+14.1%
10.5%US$225.00US$145.00US$175.8129
Oct ’24US$154.88
US$175.38
+13.2%
9.7%US$222.00US$145.00US$177.5229
Sep ’24US$154.66
US$173.43
+12.1%
10.0%US$222.00US$140.00US$195.1128
Aug ’24US$147.88
US$166.11
+12.3%
10.6%US$207.00US$124.00US$198.2228
Jul ’24US$131.36
US$168.25
+28.1%
10.1%US$207.00US$124.00US$203.7128
Jun ’24US$128.10
US$169.96
+32.7%
10.5%US$207.00US$124.00US$199.2628
May ’24US$141.93
US$173.24
+22.1%
9.9%US$207.00US$126.00US$196.0129
Apr ’24US$135.17
US$172.97
+28.0%
11.4%US$217.00US$126.00US$199.4530
Mar ’24US$144.62
US$175.87
+21.6%
11.3%US$214.00US$126.00US$185.1730
Feb ’24US$143.35
US$176.43
+23.1%
11.9%US$214.00US$116.00US$152.7230
Jan ’24US$136.78
US$179.59
+31.3%
12.2%US$230.00US$116.00US$155.0829
Dec ’23US$144.70
US$181.40
+25.4%
12.0%US$230.00US$116.00US$154.2730
Nov ’23US$158.63
US$173.58
+9.4%
12.0%US$230.00US$125.00US$159.4131

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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