UWM Holdings Corporation

NYSE:UWMC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.6b

UWM Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

UWM Holdings is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 52.4% and 6.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 57.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 16.8% in 3 years.

Key information

52.4%

Earnings growth rate

57.09%

EPS growth rate

Diversified Financial earnings growth7.0%
Revenue growth rate6.2%
Future return on equity16.79%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated13 Aug 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Analysis Article Aug 14

Bearish: Analysts Just Cut Their UWM Holdings Corporation (NYSE:UWMC) Revenue and EPS estimates

Market forces rained on the parade of UWM Holdings Corporation ( NYSE:UWMC ) shareholders today, when the analysts...
Seeking Alpha Aug 11

UWM: Why Common Shareholders Must Now Wait Before Any Recovery

Summary Walk through the cascade of pressures on the mortgage industry and UWMC: elevated rates, 10b5-1 selling plan, and a $603 million hedge loss tied to the failed Two Harbors deal that's driven the stock down nearly 70% YTD. The core business remained profitable underneath the Q2 loss, but the over-hedged derivatives and subsequent Oaktree Capital preferred raise have left common shareholders like myself with a much longer recovery timeline. Real progress on the preferred pay down, sustained operating results, and eventual restoration of capital returns will determine whether UWM can reclaim a healthier valuation of itself. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Aug 04

UWMC: Dividend Reset And Balance Sheet Repair Will Support Future Upside

The updated analyst price target for UWM Holdings points lower, with the fair value estimate moving from about $4.84 to roughly $3.87 as analysts factor in reduced revenue growth expectations, slightly different discount rate and P/E assumptions, and ongoing pressure from higher mortgage rates across the sector. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on UWM Holdings shows a mix of caution and selective optimism as analysts reassess the stock under a higher mortgage rate backdrop and reset price targets closer to current trading levels.
Narrative Update Jul 21

UWMC: Dividend Reset And Balance Sheet Focus Will Drive Upside Potential

The updated analyst price framework for UWM Holdings reflects a lower implied value, with the fair value estimate moving from about $6.31 to $6.04 as analysts trim price targets in response to a tougher interest rate backdrop, revised revenue expectations, and an increased focus on profitability and balance sheet strength. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on UWM Holdings highlights a mix of caution on interest rate and profitability headwinds alongside pockets of optimism around valuation, capital management, and potential balance sheet improvement.
Narrative Update Jul 07

UWMC: Dividend Reset And Special Meeting Will Shape Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for UWM Holdings from about $9.18 to roughly $6.31 and lowered future P/E assumptions, citing the prolonged impact of higher mortgage rates on profitability, a tougher interest rate backdrop through 2028, and the potential for a dividend cut to support balance sheet strength. Analyst Commentary Recent research around UWM Holdings highlights a mix of caution on earnings and interest rates alongside some clear pockets of optimism on valuation, capital flexibility, and potential catalysts tied to the dividend policy.
Narrative Update Jun 23

UWMC: Balanced Model And Dividend Reset Are Expected To Unlock Future Upside

The updated analyst price target for UWM Holdings moves lower to $4, with the shift largely tied to a tougher interest rate backdrop, ongoing leverage and dividend concerns, and a more cautious view on the company’s ability to sustain prior profitability expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research on UWM Holdings points to a more mixed setup, with analysts weighing pressure from higher mortgage rates against valuation support and potential balance sheet changes.
Narrative Update Jun 08

UWMC: Dividend Reset After Two Harbors Outcome Will Drive Bullish Repricing

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on UWM Holdings to about $4.50 per share, citing a higher discount rate, softer revenue and margin assumptions, and the potential for a dividend cut that could ultimately support the balance sheet and valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on UWM Holdings has leaned cautious, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets and flagging balance sheet and deal execution questions.
Narrative Update May 25

UWMC: Two Harbors Merger Execution Will Shape Upside Potential

Analysts have reduced the average price target on UWM Holdings by approximately $0.50, reflecting slightly lower fair value estimates, a more modest revenue growth outlook, and a revised future P/E assumption following recent guidance and commentary across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates present a mixed but informative view of UWM Holdings, with most firms refining price targets after the latest earnings and guidance.
Narrative Update May 11

UWMC: Two Harbors Merger And Revenue Outlook Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have reduced the UWM Holdings fair value estimate by $1.00 to $5.59. This reflects a higher discount rate, more cautious revenue assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple in light of recent reductions in Street price targets and neutral to Hold views across several firms.
Narrative Update Apr 26

UWMC: Communication And Two Harbors Merger Risks Will Shape Fairly Balanced Outlook

Analysts have reduced the UWM Holdings fair value estimate from $4.75 to $4.00. This reflects lower Street price targets of around $4.40 to $6.50, a higher discount rate, and a more conservative future P/E assumption, while keeping growth and margin inputs relatively steady.
Narrative Update Apr 11

UWMC: Communication Risks Around Two Harbors Deal Will Shape Bullish Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on UWM Holdings to a range centered around $6. The updated fair value estimate of $4.75, versus $4.40 previously, reflects more cautious revenue and margin assumptions, a slightly higher discount rate, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple following mixed reactions to recent guidance and the Two Harbors deal.
Narrative Update Mar 04

UWMC: Earnings Communication And Acquisition Risk Set To Shape Balanced Outlook

The analyst price target for UWM Holdings has been reduced by $0.60 to reflect lower Q1 revenue expectations, higher perceived risk, and mixed sentiment around the recent earnings call format and the pending Two Harbors acquisition, even as analysts point to solid $50b quarterly originations as support for scale. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around UWM Holdings shows a clear tilt toward more cautious views, even as some analysts still acknowledge the company's scale and quarterly originations.
Narrative Update Feb 18

UWMC: Policy Support And Credit Risk Set To Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have reset their fair value estimate for UWM Holdings to $5.00 from $4.50, citing updated assumptions around refinancing sensitivity, housing policy support for originators, and a sharply lower future P/E multiple in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around UWM Holdings highlights a mix of policy driven optimism and valuation caution, with several firms reassessing how much support is already reflected in the share price.
Narrative Update Feb 04

UWMC: Policy Shifts And Refinance Activity Will Support Future Upside

Narrative Update Analysts now frame UWM Holdings with a reduced price target of $5, cut from $6, as they reassess sector risks and the durability of policy driven mortgage tailwinds, while keeping underlying fair value assumptions and long term earnings drivers broadly unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research presents a mixed picture for UWM Holdings, with policy headlines, rate moves, and sector wide risk reassessments all influencing how analysts think about valuation and execution risk.
Narrative Update Jan 21

UWMC: Policy Tailwinds And Refinance Activity Will Support Future Upside

Analysts recently trimmed their price target on UWM Holdings to US$5 from US$6, citing mortgage rate moves, policy headlines, and broader credit and housing support expectations that they believe are already partially reflected in current trading levels. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around UWM Holdings centers on how much of the potential policy and rate backdrop is already embedded in the share price, with investors trying to balance possible refinance upside against questions on sustainability and broader credit risk.
Narrative Update Jan 07

UWMC: Credit Resilience And Loan Momentum Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on UWM Holdings, with one cut highlighted from US$6 to US$5, reflecting updated expectations for fair value, profit margins and future P/E assumptions as they weigh loan growth potential against credit risk. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around UWM Holdings centers on how much upside is left after the latest price target trim and what could still go wrong if credit conditions become more challenging.
Narrative Update Dec 14

UWMC: Resilient Credit Performance Will Support Optimism Amid Elevated Rate Environment

Analysts have nudged their average price target on UWM Holdings up to $7.00 from $6.00, citing resilient credit performance, cautious but improving sentiment around the mortgage market, and a view that shares had largely rerated to reflect expectations for lower long term interest rates. Analyst Commentary Analyst views on UWM Holdings have become more balanced, with recent research highlighting both improving fundamentals and emerging valuation risks following the stock's sharp move higher.
Narrative Update Nov 30

UWMC: Steady Credit Performance Will Drive Optimism Despite Rate Headwinds

Analysts have increased their price target for UWM Holdings to $7.00, up from the previous $6.00. They cite steady credit performance and improving sentiment in the mortgage market, despite ongoing caution around rates and valuations.
Narrative Update Nov 15

UWMC: Strong Credit Trends Will Likely Improve Earnings Amid Rate Uncertainty

The average analyst price target for UWM Holdings has increased from $6.59 to $7.00. This reflects improved outlooks on revenue growth, profit margins, and fair value as analysts cite strong credit performance and a more optimistic mortgage market despite elevated rate expectations.
Narrative Update Oct 31

UWMC: Credit Strength And Rate Momentum Will Drive Upside Potential

Analysts have modestly increased their price target for UWM Holdings, raising it from $6.53 to $6.59 per share. They cite steady credit performance and improved sector optimism, but remain cautious due to concerns over valuation and interest rates.
Narrative Update Oct 17

Advanced AI And In-house Servicing Will Transform Mortgage Markets

The analyst consensus price target for UWM Holdings has increased from $6.03 to $6.53 per share, as analysts highlight resilient credit performance and improved mortgage market sentiment. However, they also note ongoing risks tied to elevated interest rates and valuation.
Narrative Update Oct 03

Advanced AI And In-house Servicing Will Transform Mortgage Markets

UWM Holdings’ analyst price target has been revised upward from $5.78 to $6.03. Analysts highlight improving growth prospects and note that valuation concerns remain amid changing expectations for mortgage rates.
Analysis Article May 29

Shareholders Will Probably Hold Off On Increasing UWM Holdings Corporation's (NYSE:UWMC) CEO Compensation For The Time Being

Key Insights UWM Holdings to hold its Annual General Meeting on 4th of June CEO Mat Ishbia's total compensation...
Seeking Alpha Mar 25

UWM Holdings: Record 2024 Performance Sets Stage For Future Gains

Summary In 2024’s worst home sales since 1995, UWM smashed records with $96B in purchase loans while doubling its refinance market share to 12%. With a $3.5B profit precedent at 6%, UWM is primed for a $260B refinance origination surge if rates drop, capitalizing on future macroeconomic shifts. Despite a 92% Ishbia family-owned float fueling volatility and short-seller noise, UWM’s $2.5B cash pile and committed dividend policy offers investors a great buying opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 26

UWM Holdings: 6.5% Dividend While Waiting For Refinancing Boom

Summary UWMC dominates the broker channel market, aiming to exceed 50% market share, with substantial growth in purchase originations despite high interest rates. Proprietary tech investments enhance efficiency and scalability, positioning UWMC to capitalize on refinancing volume spikes when interest rates decline. Key risks include prolonged high mortgage rates, increased broker channel competition, and potential dividend or buyback issues. Holding UWMC offers a 6.5% dividend yield and a free call option on a refinancing boom, making it a strategic addition to a diversified income portfolio. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:UWMC - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20283,18683N/AN/A5
12/31/20272,94190N/AN/A6
12/31/20262,351-33N/AN/A5
6/30/20262,926-37-3,289-4,861N/A
3/31/20263,60966-3,522-5,471N/A
12/31/20253,45927-298-2,648N/A
9/30/20252,70317-1,008-3,295N/A
6/30/20252,80512-517-2,394N/A
3/31/20252,487-8-1,136-3,445N/A
12/31/20242,45914-3,569-6,241N/A
9/30/20242,727-22-3,284-6,028N/A
6/30/20242,3393-409-3,503N/A
3/31/20242,2527-1,569-4,030N/A
12/31/20232,165-131,982165N/A
9/30/20232,09914-267-2,050N/A
6/30/20231,9627-1,400-2,944N/A
3/31/20231,9378-171-1,491N/A
12/31/20222,089429,5538,268N/A
9/30/20222,377595,7704,610N/A
6/30/20222,796726,7875,750N/A
3/31/20222,96272-29-842N/A
12/31/20213,55698-9,758-9,957N/A
9/30/20214,6291,453-4,880-5,088N/A
6/30/20215,5972,879-4,104-4,069N/A
3/31/20215,7403,4103,3223,330N/A
12/31/20205,0013,38328856N/A
9/30/20203,6162,1602448N/A
6/30/20202,231907-1,298-1,595N/A
3/31/20201,596401N/A-3,071N/A
12/31/20191,301415N/A-3,496N/A
12/31/201850291N/A-926N/A
12/31/2017456115N/A-755N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: UWMC is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.7%).

Earnings vs Market: UWMC is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: UWMC is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: UWMC's revenue (6.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (13% per year).

High Growth Revenue: UWMC's revenue (6.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: UWMC's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (16.8%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/08/17 07:31
End of Day Share Price 2026/08/14 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

UWM Holdings Corporation is covered by 15 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mark DeVriesBarclays
Terry MaBarclays
Douglas HarterBTIG