Noah Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Noah Holdings is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 15.8% and 6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 16.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 7.5% in 3 years.

Key information

15.8%

Earnings growth rate

16.7%

EPS growth rate

Capital Markets earnings growth13.1%
Revenue growth rate6.0%
Future return on equity7.5%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated03 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Noah Holdings Limited (NYSE:NOAH) Just Reported, And Analysts Assigned A US$14.26 Price Target

Sep 01
Noah Holdings Limited (NYSE:NOAH) Just Reported, And Analysts Assigned A US$14.26 Price Target

Recent updates

Even With A 30% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Noah Holdings Limited's (NYSE:NOAH) Performance Completely

Sep 26
Even With A 30% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Noah Holdings Limited's (NYSE:NOAH) Performance Completely

Noah Holdings Limited (NYSE:NOAH) Just Reported, And Analysts Assigned A US$14.26 Price Target

Sep 01
Noah Holdings Limited (NYSE:NOAH) Just Reported, And Analysts Assigned A US$14.26 Price Target

Noah Holdings: Q2 Results Miss And New Buyback Plan Draw Attention

Aug 30

Noah Holdings Limited (NYSE:NOAH) Stock's 25% Dive Might Signal An Opportunity But It Requires Some Scrutiny

Jun 05
Noah Holdings Limited (NYSE:NOAH) Stock's 25% Dive Might Signal An Opportunity But It Requires Some Scrutiny

Noah Holdings: Strategic Pivot Is Still A Work-In-Progress (Rating Downgrade)

May 30

Noah Holdings Limited (NYSE:NOAH) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 27%

Apr 14
Noah Holdings Limited (NYSE:NOAH) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 27%

Noah Holdings: Building Wealth Through A Growing Client Base

Mar 15

Noah Holdings: Watch New Capital Return Framework And Insurance Products

Dec 09

Noah Holdings: Consider Overseas Expansion And Financial Strength

Sep 29

Staying Bullish On Noah Holdings

Jul 14

Noah Holdings: Room For Further Valuation Re-Rating

Feb 14

Noah Holdings announces primary listing status on Hong Kong Stock Exchange

Dec 23

Noah Holdings: Spotlight On Dividend Policy And Delisting Risk

Sep 13

Noah Holdings Non-GAAP EPS of RMB4.53, revenue of RMB738.1M

Aug 22

Noah gets board approval to pursue primary listing on Hong Kong Stock Exchange

Aug 10

Noah prices global offering

Jul 06

Noah to raise capital in 1.1M global stock offering

Jun 29

Noah Holdings Stock: Short-Term Pain, Long-Term Gain

Dec 03

Noah Holdings: Post-Results Negative Share Price Reaction Doesn't Seem Justified

Aug 20

What Percentage Of Noah Holdings Limited (NYSE:NOAH) Shares Do Insiders Own?

Feb 15
What Percentage Of Noah Holdings Limited (NYSE:NOAH) Shares Do Insiders Own?

Noah Holdings: Client Acceptance Of Settlement Plan Priced In

Jan 08

Does Noah Holdings (NYSE:NOAH) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Dec 03
Does Noah Holdings (NYSE:NOAH) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Noah announces $100M share repurchase program

Nov 30

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:NOAH - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20263,097820N/AN/A4
12/31/20252,844710N/AN/A5
12/31/20242,656600N/AN/A5
9/30/20242,749582N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20242,815681376465N/A
3/31/20243,141897N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20233,2951,0091,1601,318N/A
9/30/20233,377933N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20233,3128829831,143N/A
3/31/20233,108916N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20223,100977570633N/A
9/30/20223,4781,118N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20223,7031,209N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20223,8641,165-7371,527N/A
12/31/20214,2931,314-7491,522N/A
9/30/20213,986-541N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20213,936-528N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20213,784-534N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20203,306-745745796N/A
9/30/20203,141931N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20203,124837N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20203,248788N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20193,3928291,2231,288N/A
9/30/20193,426882N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20193,423898N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20193,349827N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20183,2908119011,029N/A
9/30/20183,190815N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20183,035787N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20182,945814N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20172,827763N/A628N/A
9/30/20172,751711N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20172,675687N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20172,620662N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20162,514644N/A686N/A
9/30/20162,441620N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20162,353616N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20162,279603N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20152,120536N/A675N/A
9/30/20151,901532N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20151,799502N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20151,665474N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20141,528447N/A590N/A
9/30/20141,412436N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20141,297417N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20141,128365N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20131,006316N/A574N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: NOAH's forecast earnings growth (15.8% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: NOAH's earnings (15.8% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: NOAH's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: NOAH's revenue (6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: NOAH's revenue (6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: NOAH's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (7.5%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 07:20
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Noah Holdings Limited is covered by 15 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Wenzhou HuBOCI Research Ltd.
Yanran XingBOCI Research Ltd.
You FanChina International Capital Corporation Limited