Moelis Valuation

Is MC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • PM vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MC ($53.53) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($39.17)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MC is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MC?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does MC's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for MC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.8x
BGC BGC Group
1.8x5.7%US$3.5b
LAZ Lazard
1.3x10.8%US$3.4b
PJT PJT Partners
2.2x9.1%US$4.2b
PIPR Piper Sandler Companies
2.1x12.0%US$2.8b
MC Moelis
4.2x18.7%US$3.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: MC is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.2x) compared to the peer average (1.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Capital Markets Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: MC is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.2x) compared to the US Capital Markets industry average (3.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MC's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MC PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4.2x
Fair PS Ratio3.7x

PM vs Fair Ratio: MC is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$53.53
US$52.67
-1.6%
8.3%US$58.00US$46.00n/a6
Feb ’25US$55.88
US$47.67
-14.7%
16.3%US$56.00US$32.00n/a6
Jan ’25US$56.13
US$39.00
-30.5%
14.7%US$47.00US$32.00n/a5
Dec ’24US$49.22
US$37.80
-23.2%
11.6%US$44.00US$32.00n/a5
Nov ’24US$42.60
US$39.20
-8.0%
15.6%US$48.00US$30.00n/a5
Oct ’24US$45.13
US$41.00
-9.2%
22.2%US$56.00US$29.00n/a5
Sep ’24US$47.90
US$41.20
-14.0%
22.3%US$56.00US$29.00n/a5
Aug ’24US$48.75
US$41.20
-15.5%
22.3%US$56.00US$29.00n/a5
Jul ’24US$45.34
US$32.17
-29.1%
14.4%US$38.00US$27.00n/a6
Jun ’24US$38.12
US$32.17
-15.6%
14.4%US$38.00US$27.00n/a6
May ’24US$37.56
US$32.17
-14.4%
14.4%US$38.00US$27.00n/a6
Apr ’24US$38.44
US$33.50
-12.9%
12.8%US$41.00US$29.00n/a6
Mar ’24US$42.93
US$35.33
-17.7%
14.3%US$43.00US$30.00n/a6
Feb ’24US$47.32
US$34.50
-27.1%
10.3%US$39.00US$30.00US$55.886
Jan ’24US$38.37
US$36.17
-5.7%
10.6%US$40.00US$30.00US$56.136
Dec ’23US$43.70
US$36.17
-17.2%
10.6%US$40.00US$30.00US$49.226
Nov ’23US$43.60
US$37.00
-15.1%
10.4%US$42.00US$30.00US$42.606
Oct ’23US$33.81
US$40.50
+19.8%
9.1%US$45.00US$35.00US$45.136
Sep ’23US$41.66
US$43.50
+4.4%
10.8%US$52.00US$36.00US$47.906
Aug ’23US$46.02
US$43.71
-5.0%
11.1%US$52.00US$36.00US$48.757
Jul ’23US$39.66
US$50.86
+28.2%
6.9%US$54.00US$43.00US$45.347
Jun ’23US$46.01
US$51.29
+11.5%
7.2%US$54.00US$43.00US$38.127
May ’23US$44.26
US$51.86
+17.2%
4.8%US$54.00US$47.00US$37.567
Apr ’23US$47.44
US$60.86
+28.3%
11.1%US$70.00US$50.00US$38.447
Mar ’23US$47.49
US$66.14
+39.3%
6.3%US$70.00US$57.00US$42.937
Feb ’23US$56.85
US$70.71
+24.4%
5.9%US$78.00US$64.00US$47.327

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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