Moelis & Company

NYSE:MC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.7b

Moelis Valuation

Is MC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MC ($74.28) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($59.49)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MC is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MC?

Key metric: As MC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MC. This is calculated by dividing MC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio128x
EarningsUS$40.96m
Market CapUS$5.66b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.5x
VIRT Virtu Financial
17.3x17.7%US$5.5b
PIPR Piper Sandler Companies
29.1xn/aUS$4.7b
LAZ Lazard
18.8x32.9%US$4.7b
BGC BGC Group
36.8xn/aUS$4.2b
MC Moelis
128x68.1%US$5.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (128x) compared to the peer average (14.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Capital Markets Industry?

22 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ADX Adams Diversified Equity Fund
3.7xn/aUS$2.26b
CET Central Securities
4.4xn/aUS$1.29b
GAM General American Investors Company
4.2xn/aUS$1.20b
MUDS Mudrick Capital Acquisition Corporation II
3.4xn/aUS$401.64m
MC 128.0xIndustry Avg. 23.2xNo. of Companies71PE020406080100+
22 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (128x) compared to the US Capital Markets industry average (23.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio128x
Fair PE Ratio39.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (128x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$74.28
US$74.00
-0.4%
16.5%US$92.00US$57.00n/a7
Dec ’25US$76.98
US$66.57
-13.5%
10.3%US$79.00US$57.00n/a7
Nov ’25US$66.93
US$65.43
-2.2%
7.9%US$71.00US$57.00n/a7
Oct ’25US$67.93
US$60.43
-11.0%
12.2%US$70.00US$51.00n/a7
Sep ’25US$66.79
US$57.17
-14.4%
8.3%US$64.00US$51.00n/a6
Aug ’25US$64.25
US$57.33
-10.8%
8.7%US$65.00US$51.00n/a6
Jul ’25US$57.14
US$51.83
-9.3%
6.0%US$56.00US$47.00n/a6
Jun ’25US$56.61
US$51.83
-8.4%
6.0%US$56.00US$47.00n/a6
May ’25US$50.40
US$52.00
+3.2%
6.5%US$57.00US$47.00n/a6
Apr ’25US$56.17
US$53.33
-5.1%
9.5%US$58.00US$45.00n/a6
Mar ’25US$53.57
US$52.67
-1.7%
8.3%US$58.00US$46.00n/a6
Feb ’25US$55.88
US$47.67
-14.7%
16.3%US$56.00US$32.00n/a6
Jan ’25US$56.13
US$39.00
-30.5%
14.7%US$47.00US$32.00n/a5
Dec ’24US$49.22
US$37.80
-23.2%
11.6%US$44.00US$32.00US$76.985
Nov ’24US$42.60
US$39.20
-8.0%
15.6%US$48.00US$30.00US$66.935
Oct ’24US$45.13
US$41.00
-9.2%
22.2%US$56.00US$29.00US$67.935
Sep ’24US$47.90
US$41.20
-14.0%
22.3%US$56.00US$29.00US$66.795
Aug ’24US$48.75
US$41.20
-15.5%
22.3%US$56.00US$29.00US$64.255
Jul ’24US$45.34
US$32.17
-29.1%
14.4%US$38.00US$27.00US$57.146
Jun ’24US$38.12
US$32.17
-15.6%
14.4%US$38.00US$27.00US$56.616
May ’24US$37.56
US$32.17
-14.4%
14.4%US$38.00US$27.00US$50.406
Apr ’24US$38.44
US$33.50
-12.9%
12.8%US$41.00US$29.00US$56.176
Mar ’24US$42.93
US$35.33
-17.7%
14.3%US$43.00US$30.00US$53.576
Feb ’24US$47.32
US$34.50
-27.1%
10.3%US$39.00US$30.00US$55.886
Jan ’24US$38.37
US$36.17
-5.7%
10.6%US$40.00US$30.00US$56.136
Dec ’23US$43.70
US$36.17
-17.2%
10.6%US$40.00US$30.00US$49.226

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/23 06:50
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Moelis & Company is covered by 18 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Michael NeedhamBofA Global Research
James MitchellBuckingham Research Group Inc.
Ashley SerraoCredit Suisse