LendingClub Valuation

Is LC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LC ($14.92) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($14.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LC is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LC?

Key metric: As LC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LC. This is calculated by dividing LC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio32.4x
EarningsUS$51.77m
Market CapUS$1.68b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.4x
FINV FinVolution Group
5.1x13.5%US$1.5b
PRG PROG Holdings
12.5x-0.2%US$2.0b
ENVA Enova International
14.6x23.8%US$2.6b
BFH Bread Financial Holdings
9.2x9.5%US$2.9b
LC LendingClub
32.4x52.7%US$1.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.4x) compared to the peer average (10.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Finance Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
YRD Yiren Digital
1.8xn/aUS$507.70m
XYF X Financial
1.7xn/aUS$302.56m
No more companies available in this PE range
LC 32.4xIndustry Avg. 12.3xNo. of Companies4PE0816243240+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.4x) compared to the US Consumer Finance industry average (12.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio32.4x
Fair PE Ratio28.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$14.92
US$15.60
+4.6%
14.4%US$19.00US$11.00n/a10
Nov ’25US$14.21
US$15.60
+9.8%
14.4%US$19.00US$11.00n/a10
Oct ’25US$11.15
US$13.80
+23.8%
10.8%US$16.00US$11.00n/a10
Sep ’25US$12.15
US$13.80
+13.6%
10.8%US$16.00US$11.00n/a10
Aug ’25US$11.42
US$13.60
+19.1%
11.6%US$16.00US$11.00n/a10
Jul ’25US$8.34
US$10.68
+28.0%
15.7%US$13.00US$7.00n/a10
Jun ’25US$8.92
US$10.64
+19.3%
15.9%US$13.00US$7.00n/a9
May ’25US$9.00
US$10.42
+15.7%
14.3%US$13.00US$7.00n/a9
Apr ’25US$8.76
US$10.31
+17.6%
14.9%US$13.00US$7.00n/a9
Mar ’25US$8.21
US$10.31
+25.5%
14.9%US$13.00US$7.00n/a9
Feb ’25US$8.68
US$10.22
+17.8%
15.0%US$13.00US$7.00n/a9
Jan ’25US$8.74
US$9.23
+5.5%
22.8%US$13.00US$7.00n/a10
Dec ’24US$6.75
US$8.88
+31.5%
24.0%US$13.00US$7.00n/a10
Nov ’24US$5.25
US$8.97
+70.9%
24.8%US$13.00US$7.00US$14.219
Oct ’24US$6.10
US$11.50
+88.5%
20.5%US$15.00US$9.00US$11.159
Sep ’24US$7.01
US$11.83
+68.8%
18.5%US$15.00US$9.00US$12.159
Aug ’24US$8.10
US$11.72
+44.7%
19.2%US$15.00US$9.00US$11.429
Jul ’24US$9.75
US$11.39
+16.8%
21.1%US$15.00US$9.00US$8.349
Jun ’24US$8.29
US$11.13
+34.2%
21.8%US$15.00US$9.00US$8.928
May ’24US$7.33
US$11.13
+51.8%
21.8%US$15.00US$9.00US$9.008
Apr ’24US$7.21
US$12.43
+72.4%
21.0%US$17.00US$9.00US$8.767
Mar ’24US$9.45
US$12.71
+34.5%
20.0%US$17.00US$9.00US$8.217
Feb ’24US$9.82
US$12.71
+29.5%
20.0%US$17.00US$9.00US$8.687
Jan ’24US$8.80
US$16.57
+88.3%
19.3%US$20.00US$12.00US$8.747
Dec ’23US$10.24
US$16.29
+59.0%
18.2%US$20.00US$12.00US$6.757
Nov ’23US$10.34
US$16.29
+57.5%
18.2%US$20.00US$12.00US$5.257

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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